UMass Minutemen vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, 10/14/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA

TV: BTN

Odds/Point Spread: Nittany Lions (-42)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

Beaver Stadium is the location where the Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) will go up against the UMass Minutemen (1-6) on Saturday, October 14, 2023. UMass opens as 42-point underdogs. The over/under is 57.5.

The UMass Minutemen step onto the field holding a record of 1-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Minutemen played the Toledo Rockets and took a loss by a score of 41-24. Taisun Phommachanh finished 20/31 with 272 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 153.1 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Kay'ron Adams led the offense in rushing for the Minutemen with 20 carries for 157 yards (7.9 yds per carry). The UMass Minutemen ended up rushing 32 different times and had 167 yards, which earned them an average of 5.2 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 63 plays which totaled 439 yards. UMass conceded 15 pass completions on 23 attempts for a total of 139 yards, and a completion rate of 65.2%. In the running game, the Minutemen gave up 375 yds on 39 tries, which averages out to 9.6 yds per run surrendered.

The Minutemen have tallied 2,775 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, UMass has totaled 10 touchdowns through the air and 10 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 10 different times. UMass has accumulated 131 first downs, and they have been flagged for 60 penalties for 542 yards. Offensively they are averaging 142.7 yards on the ground ranking this team at 87th in the country. When it comes to scoring points, the UMass Minutemen have an average of 26.1 points per outing.

The Minutemen are ranked 132nd in college football concerning team defense, allowing 39.4 points per game. They are giving up 5.9 yards per run and 220.1 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,541 rushing yards through 7 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Minutemen have allowed 1,624 yds which has them sitting in 125th in the nation. They have surrendered 232.0 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 59.7%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 452.1 yards per contest ranking them 126th in the nation. They have granted 18 touchdowns via the pass as well as 16 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Nittany Lions step onto the field holding a record of 5-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Nittany Lions took home the win by a final score of 41-13 when they played the Northwestern Wildcats. Drew Allar (1 TD) finished the game with 189 yards on 18/33 through the air while his quarterback rating was 112.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.7. Nicholas Singleton ran the ball 21 times for 80 yds, ending the game with 3.8 yards per carry for Penn State. Penn State rushed the football for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing with 134 yards on 39 carries. The Nittany Lions finished with a total of 353 yards while they ran 73 plays (4.8 yds per play). The Nittany Lions passing defense gave up a completion rate of 51.6%, relinquishing 130 yds on 16 for 31 through the air. Penn State surrendered 32 rush attempts for 45 yards (1.4 yds per carry).

When looking at how much they score, the Nittany Lions rank 11th in the country averaging 40.6 points per contest. The Penn State Nittany Lions have an average of 430.4 yards/game, which is good for 44th in the country. The Penn State offense has totaled 220 yds of penalties on 25 infractions, which ranks them 112th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 0 picks while letting opponents recover 1 fumble and they have been able to record 128 1st downs. For the year so far, the Nittany Lions have thrown for a total of 1,178 yards through the air together with an average of 235.6 passing yards per game, ranking them 68th in D-1. They have an average of 194.8 yards per game via the rush and have run for 974 yards for the year.

Penn State has allowed a total of 371 yards on the ground (74.2 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have given up 1 touchdown through the air in addition to 136.4 yards/outing, which has them sitting 1st in D-1. Their defense has compiled 6 fumbles recovered and 6 picks this year. The Nittany Lions defense has been on the field for 278 plays, which is 3rd in D-1. The Nittany Lions are giving up 9.6 points per game, ranking them 2nd in D-1. This year, they have conceded 48 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Nittany Lions -42

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