UMass Minutemen vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-28)

Total/Over-Under: 62

The UMass Minutemen (3-7) are on their way to Williams Stadium on Saturday, November 18, 2023 where they will take on the Liberty Flames (10-0). Liberty opens this game as 28-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 62.

The UMass Minutemen come into this game with a record of 3-7 this year. In their last game, the Minutemen played the Merrimack Warriors and earned the victory with a final of 31-21. Taisun Phommachanh finished 9/20 with 104 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 105.2 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Gregory Desrosiers was the rushing leader for the Minutemen with 10 attempts for 162 yards (16.2 yds per attempt). The UMass Minutemen ran the football 37 times and tallied 255 yards, which earned them an average of 6.9 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 57 plays which gave them 359 yards. UMass surrendered 11 pass completions on 27 attempts for a total of 131 yds, and a completion percentage of 40.7%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Minutemen conceded 95 yds on 33 attempts, which averages out to 2.9 yds per run surrendered.

When it comes to scoring points, the UMass Minutemen are averaging 23.5 PPG. Offensively they average 154.9 yards via the ground game which is 71st in college football. The Minutemen have attained 3,595 total yards this season. With reference to getting in the endzone, UMass has totaled 11 touchdowns through the air and 16 touchdowns on the ground. UMass has accrued 177 first downs, and they have been called for 86 infractions for 768 yards. They have turned the ball over 11 different times.

The Minutemen sit in 131st in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 37.4 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.6 yards per rushing attempt and 208.6 rushing yards per contest so far this year. During the season, they have given up 2,086 rushing yards through 10 games. Concerning passing yards, the Minutemen are allowing 2,075 yds which puts them in 37th in college football. They have yielded 207.5 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 57.2%. Overall, they have surrendered 416.1 yards/contest which puts them 110th in college football. They have yielded 22 touchdowns by air and 23 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Flames head into this matchup 10-0 for this year. In their last game, the Flames walked away with a victory by a final of 38-10 when they played the Old Dominion Monarchs. Kaidon Salter (3 touchdowns) ended the contest with 225 yards on 13/22 through the air while his QB rate was 180.9. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.2. Quinton Cooley carried the ball 19 times for 85 yards, finishing the contest with 4.5 yards per carry for Liberty. Liberty rushed for 5.1 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 230 yards on 45 attempts. The Flames finished the game with 455 yds and they ran 69 plays (6.6 yards per play). The Flames passing defense allowed a completion rate of 54.8%, relinquishing 161 yds on 23 out of 42 passing. Liberty conceded 41 run attempts for 119 yds (2.9 yds per rush).

The Liberty Flames hold an average of 496.4 yards per contest, which ranks them 7th in Division 1. The Liberty offense has racked up 695 yards of penalties on 66 violations, which has them sitting 37th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 278.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 2,780 yards in total. They have tossed 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 247 1st downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Flames are ranking 10th in the nation averaging 39.0 PPG. For the year thus far, the Flames have racked up 2,184 passing yards as well as holding an average of 218.4 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 79th in D-1.

The Flames are giving up 20.7 points per game, which has them sitting 35th in the country. Liberty has allowed the opposition a total of 1,126 rushing yards (112.6 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns on the ground on the year. Over the course of the season, they have given up 207 points in total. They have conceded 19 touchdowns from the passing game and 234.6 yards/outing, which puts them in 80th in college football. The Flames defense has taken the field for 659 plays, which ranks 58th in college football. Their defense has 3 fumbles recovered and 17 picks over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Flames college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Flames -28

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