UMass Minutemen vs Army Black Knights Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Army Black Knights

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Michie Stadium in West Point, NY

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Black Knights (-15)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Michie Stadium is the location where the Army Black Knights (2-5) will meet the UMass Minutemen (1-7) on Saturday, October 28, 2023. UMass opens this game as 15-point dogs. The total is set at 47.5.

The UMass Minutemen come into this matchup with a record of 1-7 this year. In their last matchup, the Minutemen played the Penn State Nittany Lions and took a loss by a score of 63-0. Taisun Phommachanh connected on 6/14 with 25 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 57.9 and ended the game with no interceptions. Kay'ron Adams led the offense in rushing for the Minutemen with 14 attempts for 31 yds (2.2 yards per carry). The UMass Minutemen rushed the ball a total of 39 times and had 64 yds, which came out to an average of 1.6 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 62 plays which totaled 109 yards. UMass relinquished 16 pass completions on 23 tries for 162 yds, and a completion rate of 69.6%. In the running game, the Minutemen conceded 246 yds on 37 tries, which averages out to 6.6 yards per run allowed.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the UMass Minutemen have an average of 22.9 points per game. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 132.9 yards rushing ranking them 96th in the country. The Minutemen have attained 2,884 total yards this season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, UMass has totaled 10 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground. UMass has recorded 140 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 69 penalties for 623 yds. They have turned the football over 11 times.

When talking about yards through the air, the Minutemen are giving up 1,786 yards which has them sitting in 98th in the nation. They have allowed 223.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.3%. During this campaign, they are surrendering 446.6 yards/game putting them at 122nd in college football. They have allowed 21 touchdowns via the pass as well as 20 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 6.0 yards per tote and 223.4 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,787 yards on the ground through 8 outings. The Minutemen rank 133rd in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 42.4 PPG.

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The Black Knights come into this game with a record of 2-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Black Knights took a loss by a score of 62-0 against the LSU Tigers. Kanye Udoh carried the football 21 times for 108 yards, finishing the contest with 5.1 yards per carry for Army. Champ Harris finished the game with 22 yds on 4/9 through the air while his QB rating was 20.5. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per attempt was 2.4. Army surrendered 33 running attempts for 202 yds (6.1 yards per rush). The Black Knights secondary allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 368 yds on 18 out of 27 passing. The Black Knights finished with 193 yds and they ran 58 plays (3.3 yards per play). Army ended up running for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing with 151 yds on 43 attempts.

Concerning how much they score, the Black Knights are ranked 110th in D-1 averaging 21.0 points per contest. The Army Black Knights hold an average of 317.4 yards per contest, which has them ranked 117th in college football. The Army offense has accrued 161 yards of penalties on 20 violations, which has them sitting 133rd in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 8 picks while surrendering 9 fumbles and they have been able to earn 116 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Black Knights have compiled 903 passing yards as well as holding an average of 129.0 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 130th in the country. They maintain an average of 188.4 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,319 yards for the year.

The Black Knights are relinquishing 26.1 points per game, which puts them 77th in D-1. Army has conceded a total of 1,255 rushing yards (179.3 yards per contest) and 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the campaign. This year, they have conceded 183 total points. They have conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 202.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 39th in D-1. The Black Knights defense has taken the field for 433 plays, ranking them 18th in college football. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles recovered and 4 picks so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Minutemen/Black Knights college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Black Knights -15

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