UCF Knights vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bearcats (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The UCF Knights (3-5) are en route to Nippert Stadium on Saturday, November 4, 2023 where they will try to defeat the Cincinnati Bearcats (2-6). UCF opens this contest as 2-point favorites. The total is 58.5.

The UCF Knights come into this game with a record of 3-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Knights took on the West Virginia Mountaineers and took a loss by a score of 41-28. John Rhys Plumlee went 25/36 with 274 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 144.2 and ended the game with 3 picks. R.J. Harvey was the rushing leader for the Knights with 14 carries for 100 yards (7.1 yards per carry). The UCF Knights ended up running the ball 33 different times and totaled 189 yds, which is an average of 5.7 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they ran 69 plays which converted into 463 yards. UCF conceded 15 completions on 24 tries for 164 yards, and a completion rate of 62.5%. When it came to stopping the run, the Knights conceded 286 yds on 50 attempts, which is an average of 5.7 yards per run surrendered.

The Knights have racked up 3,960 total yards over the course of this season. With reference to scoring, UCF has totaled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 14 different times. UCF has 191 first downs, and they have been flagged for 53 penalties for 439 yds. Offensively they're averaging 227.0 yards in the run game which has them sitting 4th in the nation. In terms of getting in the endzone, the UCF Knights are sitting at 33.4 points per game.

Regarding passing yards, the Knights are allowing 1,557 yards which has them sitting in 26th in D-1. They are allowing 194.6 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 56.6%. Over the course of this year, they are surrendering 401.9 yards per game putting them at 102nd in the nation. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass and 21 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.9 yards per rush on the ground and 207.3 rushing yards per contest so far this season. Overall, they have given up 1,658 rushing yards through 8 games. The Knights are sitting in 102nd in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, allowing 29.9 points per game.

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The Bearcats come into this game with a record of 2-6 this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Bearcats took a loss by a score of 45-13 when they played the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Emory Jones ended the contest with 117 yds on 6/16 through the air while his QB rating was 86.4. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 7.3. Myles Montgomery ran the football 8 times for 90 yds, ending the game with 11.3 yards per attempt for Cincinnati. The Bearcats finished with a total of 442 yards on 75 plays (5.9 yds per play). Cincinnati rushed for 5.5 yards per tote, finishing with 277 yards on 50 attempts. Cincinnati surrendered 37 run attempts for 315 yds (8.5 yards per rush). The Bearcats pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 286 yds on 17 out of 34 passing.

In relation to putting points on the board, the Bearcats rank 83rd in college football with 25.3 points per game. The Cincinnati Bearcats hold an average of 444.5 yards per outing, which has them ranked 27th in college football. The Cincinnati offense has totaled 445 yds of penalties on 47 violations, which ranks 73rd in the country in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 9 picks while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 183 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Bearcats have thrown for a total of 1,775 yards via the pass along with an average of 221.9 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 74th in college football. They average 222.6 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,781 yards for the year.

The Bearcats are giving up 28.4 PPG, which has them 91st in D-1. Cincinnati has conceded a total of 1,020 yards rushing (127.5 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing on the season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 227 points in total. They have conceded 15 touchdowns through the air in addition to 247.9 yards per outing, which has them ranked 103rd in D-1. The Bearcats defense has taken part in 496 plays, which ranks 23rd in Division 1. Their defense has earned 5 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions on the season.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Bearcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bearcats +2

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