UCF Knights vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 9/9/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UCF Knights vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

The Boise State Broncos (0-1) will play the UCF Knights (1-0) at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, September 9, 2023. UCF opens this game as 1-point underdogs. The over/under is 58.5.

The UCF Knights head into this matchup 1-0 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Knights took on the Kent State Golden Flashes and earned the victory with a final of 56-6. Johnny Richardson was the best rusher for the Knights with 12 attempts for 100 yards (8.3 yds per carry). John Rhys Plumlee went 22/30 with 281 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 171.7 and walked away from the contest with 2 picks. Against the rush, the Knights conceded 95 yards on 36 tries, which averages out to 2.6 yds per run surrendered. UCF relinquished 12 pass completions on 32 tries for 145 yds, and a completion percentage of 37.5%. In all, they tallied 81 plays which gave them 723 yds. The UCF Knights ran the ball a total of 46 times and compiled 389 yards, earning them an average of 8.5 yds per carry.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the UCF Knights are sitting at 56.0 points per contest. As a team they have an average of 389.0 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 1st in the nation. The Knights have racked up 723 yards in total this season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, UCF has compiled 3 passing touchdowns and 5 rushing touchdowns. UCF has compiled 32 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 7 infractions for 70 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 3 times.

The Knights rank 15th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 6.0 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 2.6 yards per tote and 95.0 rushing yards per game on the season. During the season, they have conceded 95 rushing yards through 1 outing. Concerning yards via the pass, the Knights are giving up 145 yards which puts them in 32nd in Division 1. They have conceded 145.0 yards per outing via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 37.5%. Overall, they have given up 240.0 yards/game ranking them 31st in D-1. They have granted no touchdowns via the pass in addition to no touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Broncos head into this matchup 0-1 for this season. When they last played, the Broncos took a defeat with a final score of 56-19 when they played the Washington Huskies. George Holani carried the football 10 times for 51 yards, ending the contest with 5.1 yds per carry for Boise State. Taylen Green (1 TD) ended the contest with 244 yards on 19/39 through the air while his quarterback rate was 99.5. He had 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.3. Boise State relinquished 19 rushing attempts for 78 yds (4.1 yards per carry). The Broncos passing defense conceded a completion rate of 73.8%, surrendering 490 yds on 31 out of 42 through the air. The Broncos finished the contest with 402 yds and they ran 75 plays (5.4 yds per play). Boise State ran for 4.9 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 138 yards on 28 attempts.

The Boise State Broncos are averaging 402.0 yards per outing, which ranks them 66th in the country. The Boise State offense has compiled 29 yds of penalties on 3 violations, which is good for 112th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 2 picks while conceding no fumbles and they have been able to obtain 21 first downs. When discussing how much they score, the Broncos currently rank 98th in D-1 holding an average of 19.0 PPG.

Boise State has yielded a total of 78 yards on the ground as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have conceded 6 touchdowns through the air and 490.0 yards/contest, which puts them in 130th in college football. They have earned no fumbles and no picks over the course of the season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 61 plays, which is good for 41st in D-1. The Broncos are giving up 56.0 points per game, ranking them 126th in D-1. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 56 points.

Who will win tonight's Knights/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -1

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