Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 58

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-4) are en route to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023 where they will meet the SMU Mustangs (5-2). Tulsa opens this game as 17-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 58.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane head into this matchup 3-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the Golden Hurricane faced off with the Rice Owls and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 42-10. Cardell Williams connected on 7/14 with 101 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 134.2 and ended the contest with no picks. Braylon Braxton led the offense in rushing for the Golden Hurricane with 12 carries for 89 yds (7.4 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they had 64 plays for 292 yards. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ended up rushing 42 times and compiled 154 yards, which earned them an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. In the running game, the Golden Hurricane conceded 170 yards on 31 attempts, which is an average of 5.5 yds per run surrendered. Tulsa allowed 24 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 342 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.9%.

When it comes to scoring, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane have an average of 23.7 points per contest. Offensively they're holding an average of 187.9 yards on the ground which is 29th in Division 1. The Golden Hurricane have tallied 2,605 yards in total for the year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Tulsa has earned 12 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns. Tulsa has accumulated 136 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 31 penalties for 259 yards. They have surrendered the ball 17 different times.

The Golden Hurricane are ranked 111th in the nation when it comes to team defense, giving up 31.1 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rush and 135.0 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have given up 945 rushing yards through 7 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Golden Hurricane have given up 1,963 yards which puts them in 119th in Division 1. They have conceded 280.4 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 65.9%. Overall, they have given up 415.4 yards per contest ranking them 110th in D-1. They have yielded 14 touchdowns by air as well as 13 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Mustangs come into this matchup with a record of 5-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs took home the win by a final score of 55-0 when they faced the Temple Owls. Preston Stone (2 TDs) finished the contest with 300 yards on 23/36 passing while his QB rate was 152.2. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y/A was 8.3. Jaylan Knighton ran the ball 15 times for 64 yards, finishing the contest with 4.3 yards per attempt for SMU. SMU ran for 4.3 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 205 yards on 48 carries. The Mustangs finished the contest with a total of 563 yards and they ran 91 plays (6.2 yards per play). The Mustangs secondary gave up a completion percentage of 44.8%, relinquishing 107 yds on 13 for 29 through the air. SMU relinquished 25 rushing attempts for 24 yds (1.0 yards per rush).

The SMU Mustangs average 437.9 yards/game, which has them sitting 35th in college football. The SMU offense has racked up 289 yds of penalties on 33 infractions, which has them ranked 113th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They average 164.4 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,151 yards in total. They have given away 5 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have tallied 165 1st downs. When looking at their scoring prowess, the Mustangs are 14th in college football scoring 36.4 points per game. For the season thus far, the Mustangs currently have a total of 1,914 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 273.4 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 35th in Division 1.

The Mustangs are allowing 14.6 points per game, which has them ranked 9th in Division 1. SMU has surrendered a total of 791 yards rushing (113.0 yards/game) as well as 4 touchdowns via the rush for the season. This season, they have conceded 102 points in total. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air in addition to 172.6 yards per game, which has them ranked 11th in the country. The Mustangs defense has been on the field for 470 plays, which is 54th in college football. Their defense has tallied 1 fumble and 4 picks for the year.

Who will win tonight's Golden Hurricane/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mustangs -17

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