Troy Trojans vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warhawks (+20)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Troy Trojans (7-2) are traveling to Malone Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023 where they will attempt to defeat the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-7). Troy opens as 20-point favorites. The over/under is 50.5.

The Troy Trojans come into this matchup with a record of 7-2 this season. The last time they took the field, the Trojans played the South Alabama Jaguars and went home with a win by a final score of 28-10. Kimani Vidal was the leader on the ground for the Trojans with 24 carries for 125 yards (5.2 yds per carry). Gunnar Watson went 19/27 with 271 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 191.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Against the rush, the Trojans gave up 97 yards on 27 tries, which averages out to 3.6 yds per run surrendered. Troy conceded 17 completions on 27 tries for a total of 155 yards, and a completion percentage of 63.0%. Overall, they tallied 66 plays which gave them a total of 400 yds. The Troy Trojans ran the rock 39 different times and compiled 129 yds, earning them an average of 3.3 yds per carry.

Regarding scoring points, the Troy Trojans are averaging 27.2 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 161.1 yards in the run game which has them sitting 62nd in college football. The Trojans have earned 3,934 total yards for the year. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Troy has totaled 17 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Troy has recorded 180 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 52 penalties for 460 yards. They have turned the football over 14 different times.

The Trojans rank 12th in college football concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 16.1 points per contest. They are giving up 3.2 yards per tote and 104.3 yards on the ground per contest for the season. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 939 rushing yards through 9 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Trojans have given up 1,719 yards which ranks them 23rd in D-1. They have allowed 191.0 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.3%. Overall, they have yielded 295.3 yards/game which ranks them 14th in college football. They have relinquished 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 8 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Warhawks come into this game with a record of 2-7 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Warhawks took a loss by a final score of 24-7 when they played the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Jiya Wright (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 106 yards on 5/12 through the air while his quarterback rate was 143.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 8.8. Hunter Smith carried the ball 8 times for 35 yds, ending the game with 4.4 yards per carry for UL Monroe. UL Monroe rushed for 3.3 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 73 yards on 22 carries. The Warhawks finished the game with 260 yds and they ran 51 plays (5.1 yards per play). The Warhawks passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 46.2%, surrendering 238 yds on 12 for 26 passing. UL Monroe gave up 52 attempts on the ground for 206 yards (4.0 yds per rush).

Regarding putting points on the board, the Warhawks sit 118th in D-1 holding an average of 18.9 points per outing. The UL Monroe Warhawks are averaging 338.3 yards per contest, which is good for 103rd in college football. The UL Monroe offense has accrued 429 yds of penalties on 47 infractions, which has them ranked 103rd in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 10 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 139 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Warhawks currently sit at 1,703 passing yards as well as holding an average of 189.2 passing yards per game, putting them at 109th in the country. They have an average of 149.1 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,342 yards for this season.

The Warhawks are relinquishing 31.9 PPG, which puts them 112th in the country. UL Monroe has given up a total of 1,624 yards rushing (180.4 yards per game) and 14 touchdowns via the rush on the year. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 287 points. They have given up 17 touchdowns through the air and 268.7 yards per contest, which has them ranked 123rd in the nation. The Warhawks defense has been on the field for 676 plays, ranking them 125th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 7 fumbles and 11 interceptions over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Warhawks +20

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