Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bobcats (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Texas State Bobcats (5-2) will play the Troy Trojans (5-2) at Bobcat Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Troy opens this matchup as 4-point favorites. The total is set at 51.5.

The Troy Trojans head into this game 5-2 for this season. In their last matchup, the Trojans played the Army Black Knights and went home with a win by a final score of 19-0. Kimani Vidal was the leader on the ground for the Trojans with 23 attempts for 116 yards (5.0 yds per attempt). Gunnar Watson went 10/21 with 227 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 154.1 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. On the ground, the Trojans gave up 175 yards on 51 attempts, which calculates to 3.4 yards per run surrendered. Troy gave up 9 pass completions on 18 tries for a total of 78 yds, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. In all, they ran 60 plays which gave them a total of 449 yds. The Troy Trojans ended up rushing 39 times and totaled 222 yds, which came out to an average of 5.7 yards per carry.

In terms of putting points on the board, the Troy Trojans have an average of 26.6 points per contest. Offensively they're holding an average of 185.6 yards rushing ranking them 31st in college football. The Trojans have earned 3,114 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Troy has totaled 11 passing touchdowns and 8 touchdowns on the ground. Troy has a total of 138 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 42 penalties for 366 yards. They have turned the ball over 13 times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Trojans have allowed 1,288 yards which has them sitting in 14th in the nation. They have allowed 184.0 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.0%. During this campaign, they are giving up 281.3 yards/game which ranks them 10th in D-1. They have granted 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. The opposition is running for 2.9 yards per tote and 97.3 yards on the ground per game this year. For the year, they have allowed 681 yards via the running game in 7 games. The Trojans rank 18th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 17.4 PPG.

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The Bobcats come into this matchup with a record of 5-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bobcats went home victorious with a score of 21-20 when they faced the UL Monroe Warhawks. Donerio Davenport carried the rock 15 times for 94 yards, walking away from the game with 6.3 yards per carry for Texas State. TJ Finley (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 222 yards on 24/46 through the air while his quarterback rate was 102.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.8. Texas State relinquished 35 run attempts for 135 yards (3.9 yds per carry). The Bobcats passing defense allowed a completion rate of 63.6%, relinquishing 150 yards on 14 for 22 through the air. The Bobcats finished the game with 452 yards and they ran 100 plays (4.5 yards per play). Texas State ran the ball for 4.3 yards per tote, finishing the game with 230 yards on 54 attempts.

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Bobcats currently sit 11th in D-1 with an average of 38.3 points per game. The Texas State Bobcats are averaging 489.6 yards/game, ranking them 8th in the nation. The Texas State offense has 423 yards of penalties on 46 violations, which ranks 53rd in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 8 fumbles and they have earned 172 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Bobcats currently sit at 1,978 yards through the air not to mention holding an average of 282.6 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 29th in the country. They average 207.0 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,449 yards for the year.

Texas State has given up a total of 1,131 yards on the ground (161.6 yards per game) and 12 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have given up 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 248.0 yards/game, ranking them 103rd in D-1. They have tallied 7 fumbles and 4 picks so far this season. The Bobcats defense has participated in 517 plays, which ranks 100th in D-1. The Bobcats are surrendering 28.4 points per game, which puts them 94th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 199 pts.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Bobcats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Trojans -4

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