Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

Center Parc Stadium is the location where the Georgia State Panthers (4-0) will try to beat the Troy Trojans (2-2) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Troy opens this game as 1-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 51.5.

The Troy Trojans step onto the field holding a record of 2-2 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Trojans played the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and earned the victory with a final of 27-24. Gunnar Watson connected on 22/35 with 349 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 156 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Kimani Vidal led the offense in rushing for the Trojans with 26 attempts for 156 yds (6.0 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 81 plays which totaled 521 yds. The Troy Trojans ran the football 46 different times and recorded 172 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yds per carry. In the running game, the Trojans conceded 13 yards on 13 attempts, which averages out to 1.0 yds per run allowed. Troy conceded 24 completions on 40 attempts for a total of 275 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%.

The Trojans have tallied 1,668 yards in total over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Troy has totaled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 10 different times. Troy has recorded 82 first downs, and they have committed 21 infractions for 176 yards. As a unit they are averaging 143.0 yards via the ground game which is 83rd in the country. Regarding scoring points, the Troy Trojans have an average of 25.5 PPG.

Regarding passing yardage, the Trojans have allowed 861 yards which ranks them 62nd in the nation. They are giving up 215.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.8%. For the year, they have allowed 303.8 yards/game which puts them 29th in the country. They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.0 yards per rush and 88.5 yards on the ground per game on the year. During the season, they have allowed 354 rushing yards through 4 contests. The Trojans are sitting in 97th in D-1 in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 28.0 points per game.

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The Panthers come into this matchup with a record of 4-0 for this year. When they last played, the Panthers walked away with a victory by a final of 30-17 when they played the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. Darren Grainger (1 TD) finished the contest with 191 yards on 15/26 passing while his quarterback rating was 132.1. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.3. Marcus Carroll carried the rock 29 times for 150 yards, finishing the contest with 5.2 yards per attempt for Georgia State. The Panthers finished the contest with a total of 373 yds and they ran 70 plays (5.3 yds per play). Georgia State ended up running for 4.2 yards per carry, finishing with 182 yds on 43 carries. Georgia State relinquished 25 attempts on the ground for 107 yards (4.3 yds per carry). The Panthers pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.9%, surrendering 295 yards on 26 for 42 passing.

Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Panthers sit 30th in college football maintaining an average of 37.0 points per game. The Georgia State Panthers average 439.8 yards per outing, which has them ranked 38th in the nation. The Georgia State offense has 234 penalty yards on 27 violations, which ranks them 40th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 0 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have recorded 86 1st downs. For the year to this point, the Panthers have thrown for 994 yards through the air together with holding an average of 248.5 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 55th in Division 1. They have an average of 191.3 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 765 yards for the year.

Georgia State has surrendered a total of 357 yards rushing (89.3 yards/game) and 2 touchdowns on the ground so far this year. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 311.8 yards/outing, which has them sitting 127th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 3 fumbles and 4 picks over the course of the season. The Panthers defense has taken the field for 276 plays, which ranks 93rd in the nation. The Panthers are giving up 22.8 points per contest, which has them sitting 62nd in D-1. This year, they have conceded 91 pts.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Panthers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Trojans +1

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