Troy Trojans vs Army Black Knights Prediction, 10/14/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Army Black Knights

Date: Saturday, October 14, 2023

Location: Michie Stadium in West Point, NY

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Black Knights (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Army Black Knights (2-3) will play the Troy Trojans (4-2) at Michie Stadium on Saturday, October 14, 2023. Troy opens as 1-point favorites. The betting total is set at 44.

The Troy Trojans come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Trojans faced off with the Arkansas State Red Wolves and earned the victory with a final of 37-3. Gunnar Watson finished 12/21 with 236 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 167.3 and ended the game with no picks. Kimani Vidal led the offense in rushing for the Trojans with 28 carries for 245 yards (8.8 yds per attempt). The Troy Trojans ran the ball 50 different times and accumulated 351 yards, which had them averaging 7.0 yards per attempt. At the end of the game, they ran 71 plays which converted into 587 yds. Troy surrendered 15 pass completions on 27 tries for a total of 156 yards, and a completion rate of 55.6%. Against the run, the Trojans conceded 47 yds on 32 tries, which is an average of 1.5 yds per rush surrendered.

The Trojans have earned 2,665 yards in total this season. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Troy has totaled 10 touchdowns through the air and 8 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 different times. Troy has accounted for 123 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 33 penalties for 286 yards. As a team they average 179.5 yards in the run game ranking this team at 43rd in the nation. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Troy Trojans are averaging 27.8 PPG.

The Trojans are ranked 39th in the nation regarding team defense, conceding 20.3 PPG. They are giving up an average of 2.8 yards per rushing attempt and 84.3 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they have allowed 506 yards via the ground game in 6 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Trojans have given up 1,210 yds which has them sitting in 54th in the nation. They are conceding 201.7 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.3%. For the year, they are surrendering 286.0 yards/game putting them 15th in the nation. They have conceded 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Black Knights head into this game 2-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Black Knights took a defeat with a final score of 27-24 when they played the Boston College Eagles. Bryson Daily carried the rock 14 times for 99 yards, ending the contest with 7.1 yards per attempt for Army. Bryson Daily (1 touchdown) walked away from the game with 105 yards on 10/13 through the air while his quarterback rating was 170.2. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 8.1. Army gave up 61 rush attempts for 317 yards (5.2 yds per rush). The Black Knights secondary conceded a completion percentage of 44.4%, relinquishing 73 yards on 4 out of 9 through the air. The Black Knights finished the game with a total of 266 yards while they ran 46 plays (5.8 yds per play). Army ran the ball for 4.9 yards per carry, totaling 161 yds on 33 carries.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Black Knights are ranked 72nd in D-1 with 29.4 points per contest. The Army Black Knights have an average of 355.2 yards/contest, which has them sitting 93rd in the country. The Army offense has accrued 130 yards of penalties on 15 infractions, which is 132nd in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 4 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have obtained 87 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Black Knights have compiled 783 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 156.6 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 120th in the country. They are averaging 198.6 run yards per game and have rushed for 993 yards in total.

The Black Knights are giving up 20.4 points per game, which has them sitting 40th in the nation. Army has given up a total of 827 rushing yards (165.4 yards per contest) and 8 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. This year, they have conceded 102 points. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air in addition to 168.6 yards per contest, which has them ranked 16th in the nation. The Black Knights defense has been on the field for 313 plays, which has them sitting 10th in D-1. Their defense has 3 fumbles and 4 picks on the year.

Who will win tonight's Trojans/Black Knights college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Trojans -1

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