Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 11/14/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Tuesday, November 14, 2023

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 52

Doyt L. Perry Stadium is where the Bowling Green Falcons (6-4) will take on the Toledo Rockets (9-1) on Tuesday, November 14, 2023. Toledo opens this game as 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 52.

The Toledo Rockets come into this matchup with a record of 9-1 for this season. In their last game, the Rockets stepped onto the field against the Eastern Michigan Eagles and took home the win by a score of 49-23. Peny Boone was the rushing leader for the Rockets with 11 carries for 52 yards (4.7 yds per attempt). DeQuan Finn went 23/27 with 407 yds through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 241.1 and finished the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Rockets conceded 141 yds on 35 attempts, which is 4.0 yds per run surrendered. Toledo surrendered 10 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 114 yards, and a completion percentage of 40.0%. Overall, they ran 60 plays which gave them 510 yds. The Toledo Rockets ended up running the ball 33 different times and amassed 103 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per carry.

In terms of scoring points, the Toledo Rockets hold an average of 35.9 points per contest. As a team they're averaging 214.2 yards rushing which has them sitting 7th in college football. The Rockets have earned 4,398 total yards for the season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Toledo has totaled 22 touchdowns via the pass and 24 touchdowns on the ground. Toledo has accrued 222 first downs as a team, and they have committed 67 penalties for 599 yards. They have surrendered the ball 17 times.

In terms of passing yardage, the Rockets are conceding 1,729 yds which puts them in 12th in D-1. They have allowed 172.9 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 51.0%. For the season, they have surrendered 324.6 yards per contest which has them sitting 26th in D-1. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns through the air as well as 12 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 151.7 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the year, they have conceded 1,517 rushing yards through 10 contests. The Rockets are sitting in 27th in the country concerning team defense, giving up 19.7 PPG.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 6-4 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons got the win with a final of 49-19 when they played the Kent State Golden Flashes. Taron Keith carried the football 9 times for 103 yards, ending the contest with 11.4 yds per carry for Bowling Green. Connor Bazelak (1 TD) finished the game with 188 yards on 13/19 through the air while his quarterback rate was 158.4. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.9. Bowling Green allowed 32 rush attempts for 74 yds (2.3 yards per rush). The Falcons secondary conceded a completion percentage of 57.5%, surrendering 284 yards on 23 out of 40 through the air. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 476 yards on 62 plays (7.7 yards per play). Bowling Green ran the ball for 4.9 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 190 yds on 39 carries.

The Bowling Green Falcons maintain an average of 317.0 yards per game, ranking them 115th in college football. The Bowling Green offense has totaled 686 penalty yds on 75 violations, which is good for 14th in the country in terms of making mistakes. They average 147.9 run yards per game and have rushed for 1,479 yards for the year. They have given away 13 interceptions while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 158 1st downs. Concerning their ability to score points, the Falcons sit 82nd in the nation maintaining an average of 25.1 points per game. For the year to this point, the Falcons have compiled 1,691 passing yards not to mention an average of 169.1 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 118th in the nation.

The Falcons are surrendering 24.0 PPG, which has them sitting 53rd in college football. Bowling Green has given up a total of 1,375 rushing yards (137.5 yards/game) and 11 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. In total, they have surrendered 240 points in total. They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air and 191.0 yards per contest, which puts them in 21st in Division 1. The Falcons defense has participated in 624 plays, which is good for 22nd in the country. They have 11 fumbles and 13 interceptions this year.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rockets -7

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