Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 57

The Baylor Bears (2-3) will try to defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-3) at McLane Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023. Baylor is 3-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 57.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game with a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Red Raiders stepped onto the field against the Houston Cougars and walked away with a win by a score of 49-28. Tahj Brooks was the best rusher for the Red Raiders with 22 carries for 106 yards (4.8 yards per attempt). Behren Morton went 14/22 with 161 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 155.1 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Against the rush, the Red Raiders conceded 154 yds on 34 tries, which is 4.5 yds per run allowed. Texas Tech gave up 29 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 335 yds, and a completion rate of 70.7%. In all, they ran 59 plays for 400 yards. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ran the football 37 times and compiled 239 yds, which earned them an average of 6.5 yards per tote.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Texas Tech Red Raiders hold an average of 33.2 points per game. Offensively they maintain an average of 177.4 yards in the run game which has them sitting 47th in Division 1. The Red Raiders have earned 2,024 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Texas Tech has totaled 12 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns via the ground. Texas Tech has accrued 118 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 25 penalties for 259 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 times.

The Red Raiders sit in 68th in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 24.8 points per game. They are giving up an average of 4.0 yards per run and 148.0 rushing yards per game on the season. Overall, they have allowed 740 yards via the running game in 5 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Red Raiders are allowing 1,139 yds which has them ranked 77th in Division 1. They have given up 227.8 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 62.7%. During this campaign, they have relinquished 375.8 yards per contest putting them 75th in the nation. They have yielded 9 touchdowns through the air and 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bears head into this game 2-3 for this season. In their last game, the Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 36-35 when they played the UCF Knights. Blake Shapen (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 293 yds on 21/34 passing while his QB rating was 143.9. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.6. Richard Reese ran the ball 16 times for 100 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.3 yds per carry for Baylor. Baylor ran the ball for 3.6 yards per carry, totaling 153 yards on 43 attempts. The Bears ended up finishing with 446 yards and they ran 77 plays (5.8 yds per play). The Bears secondary conceded a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 234 yards on 13 out of 26 passing. Baylor conceded 35 run attempts for 235 yds (6.7 yds per rush).

The Baylor Bears are averaging 413.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 55th in D-1. The Baylor offense has accrued 151 yds of penalties on 24 violations, which is 95th in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They maintain an average of 142.4 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 712 yards for this year. They have given away 4 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have earned 103 1st downs. In relation to putting points on the board, the Bears are ranking 99th in the country holding an average of 23.2 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Bears have thrown for 1,353 passing yards as well as holding an average of 270.6 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 41st in D-1.

The Bears are relinquishing 28.4 PPG, which has them sitting 88th in the country. Baylor has allowed a total of 920 yards on the ground (184.0 yards/game) in addition to 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. This year, they have allowed 142 pts. They have yielded 6 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 210.6 yards/contest, which puts them in 47th in Division 1. The Bears defense has taken the field for 305 plays, which is good for 33rd in the country. They have earned 5 fumbles recovered and 3 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Red Raiders/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bears -3

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