Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Prediction, 9/30/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: M. M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Eagles (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 63

M. M. Roberts Stadium is the location where the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-3) will try to beat the Texas State Bobcats (3-1) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Texas State is 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 63.

The Texas State Bobcats come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Bobcats faced the Nevada Wolf Pack and took home the win by a score of 35-24. TJ Finley went 25/31 with 295 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 175.4 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Ismail Mahdi led the offense in rushing for the Bobcats with 21 attempts for 216 yds (10.3 yards per carry). The Texas State Bobcats ran the football 34 different times and compiled 264 yards, which came out to an average of 7.8 yds per carry. At the end of the game, they ran 66 plays which totaled 562 yds. Texas State surrendered 22 completions on 33 attempts for a total of 194 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the running game, the Bobcats conceded 159 yds on 37 tries, which is 4.3 yds per run allowed.

When talking about scoring points, the Texas State Bobcats are sitting at 41.8 points per outing. As a unit they hold an average of 209.3 yards in the run game ranking them 19th in college football. The Bobcats have earned 1,929 total yards this season. In terms of getting in the endzone, Texas State has amassed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Texas State has tallied 91 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 29 penalties for 250 yards. They have surrendered the ball 6 times.

The Bobcats are sitting in 92nd in Division 1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 27.3 points per game. They are giving up an average of 3.4 yards per run and 135.8 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. Overall, they have conceded 543 running yards through 4 outings. When talking about passing yards, the Bobcats are allowing 1,106 yds which ranks them 117th in the country. They are giving up 276.5 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 64.8%. Overall, they have relinquished 412.3 yards per outing putting them at 106th in Division 1. They have conceded 5 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Golden Eagles step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this year. In their last game, the Golden Eagles walked away with a loss by a score of 44-37 when they played the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Billy Wiles (2 TDs) finished the contest with 215 yards on 20/36 passing while his QB rating was 112.9. He threw 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.0. Frank Gore Jr. ran the football 20 times for 132 yards, walking away from the game with 6.6 yards per carry for Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles finished with a total of 449 yds on 70 plays (6.4 yards per play). Southern Miss ran for 6.9 yds per attempt, finishing with 234 yds on 34 attempts. Southern Miss conceded 44 run attempts for 192 yards (4.4 yards per rush). The Golden Eagles secondary gave up a completion percentage of 52.4%, relinquishing 233 yards on 11 out of 21 passing.

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are averaging 338.8 yards/contest, which has them sitting 101st in D-1. The Southern Miss offense has accrued 230 penalty yards on 29 infractions, which ranks them 32nd in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 128.3 rushing yards per game and have run for 513 yards overall. They have tossed 4 interceptions while surrendering 0 fumbles and they have obtained 79 1st downs. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Golden Eagles rank 93rd in the nation averaging 23.3 PPG. For the season to this point, the Golden Eagles have earned 842 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 210.5 passing yards per contest, ranking them 98th in college football.

The Golden Eagles are allowing 36.3 PPG, which puts them 123rd in college football. Southern Miss has conceded a total of 808 yards via the ground game (202.0 yards per contest) and 9 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 145 points. They have allowed the opposition 9 touchdowns from the passing game and 177.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 25th in the country. The Golden Eagles defense has taken the field for 233 plays, which has them sitting 14th in college football. Their defense has 0 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions on the season.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Golden Eagles college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bobcats -7

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