Texas State Bobcats vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 9/2/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, September 2, 2023

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: BIG12|ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-24)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The Texas State Bobcats (4-8 last season) are traveling to McLane Stadium on Saturday, September 2, 2023 where they will go up against the Baylor Bears (6-7 last year). Baylor opens this matchup as 24-point favorites. The total comes in at 60.5.

The Texas State Bobcats wrapped up their year having earned a 4-8 record. In their last game, the Bobcats took the field against the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and ended up losing by a score of 41-13. Layne Hatcher went 13/27 with 133 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 82.1 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Lincoln Pare was the leader on the ground for the Bobcats with 28 totes for 221 yds (7.9 yds per attempt). In all, they ran 64 plays which gave them 356 yds. The Texas State Bobcats rushed the ball a total of 37 times and had 223 yds, which came out to an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. Against the rush, the Bobcats conceded 165 yards on 36 attempts, which is 4.6 yards per run surrendered. Texas State allowed 21 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 271 yards, and a completion rate of 65.6%.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Texas State Bobcats held an average of 21.1 points per game. As a team they had an average of 104.1 yards on the ground, ranking them 120th in the nation. The Bobcats tallied 3,902 total yards for last season. Texas State earned 19 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. Texas State accrued 214 1st downs, and they were hurt by 59 infractions for 536 yds. They surrendered the football 17 times.

The Bobcats were ranked 63rd in Division 1 regarding team defense, conceding 26.3 PPG. They gave up an average of 3.5 yards per running attempt and 116.2 rushing yards per contest last year. For the season, they gave up 1,394 yards via the ground game in 12 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Bobcats gave up 2,939 yds which put them in 76th in the nation. In their 12 games, they surrendered 244.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 65.0%. They surrendered 361.1 yards per game ranking them 49th in D-1. They conceded 18 passing touchdowns as well as 18 rushing touchdowns.

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The Bears wrapped up their season having a 6-7 mark. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Bears took a loss by a final score of 30-15 against the Air Force Falcons. Blake Shapen (2 TDs) ended the contest with 188 yds on 11/23 through the air while his QB rating was 145.2. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.2. Craig Williams carried the ball 7 times for 25 yards, finishing the contest with 3.6 yds per attempt for Baylor. Baylor ran for 1.6 yards per tote, finishing the game with 42 yards on 26 attempts. The Bears finished the game with 230 yards while running 49 plays (4.7 yds per play). The Bears pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.1%, surrendering 103 yds on 4 out of 7 through the air. Baylor conceded 67 attempts on the ground for 276 yds (4.1 yards per rush).

The Baylor Bears had an average of 413.8 yards/game, which was good for 45th in college football. The Baylor offense totaled 534 yards of penalties on 62 infractions, which was 110th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. For the previous year, the Bears threw for a total of 3,010 passing yards in addition to an average of 231.5 passing yards per game, which was ranked 69th in Division 1. When discussing the points being put on the board, the Bears had a ranking of 38th in D-1 scoring 32.2 PPG.

Baylor conceded a total of 1,927 rushing yards (148.2 yards per game) in addition to 25 touchdowns rushing last year. They allowed the opposition 17 touchdowns via the pass as well as 222.8 yards per game, which put them in 61st in the country. The Bears defense took the field for 898 plays, which had them ranked 86th in the country. The Bears surrendered 26.8 points per contest, which put them in 67th in the nation. In total, they conceded 348 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Bears college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bobcats +24

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