Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wolves (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

Centennial Bank Stadium is where the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) will try to defeat the Texas State Bobcats (6-4) on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Arkansas State opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 59.5.

The Texas State Bobcats head into this matchup 6-4 for this season. In their last matchup, the Bobcats faced the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-23. TJ Finley went 6/11 with 49 yds passing. He had a QB rating of 92 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Ismail Mahdi was the rushing leader for the Bobcats with 21 carries for 97 yds (4.6 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they ran 67 plays for 280 yds. The Texas State Bobcats ended up running the ball 48 times and accrued 199 yards, which earned them an average of 4.1 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Bobcats conceded 188 yds on 44 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yards per run allowed. Texas State relinquished 18 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 159 yds, and a completion rate of 64.3%.

The Bobcats have racked up 4,631 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Texas State has compiled 18 touchdowns through the air and 26 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 17 different times. Texas State has accumulated 243 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 71 infractions for 669 yds. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 199.5 yards in the run game ranking them 17th in Division 1. When it comes to scoring, the Texas State Bobcats have an average of 34.9 PPG.

In terms of yards through the air, the Bobcats have given up 2,482 yds which puts them in 108th in Division 1. They have given up 248.2 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.2%. In total, they have relinquished 400.9 yards per game putting them 100th in college football. They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 17 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 152.7 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have given up 1,527 rushing yards through 10 outings. The Bobcats are ranked 91st in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 28.5 PPG.

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The Red Wolves head into this game 5-5 for this season. For their last game, the Red Wolves walked away with a loss by a score of 21-14 against the South Alabama Jaguars. Jaylen Raynor (1 touchdown) finished the game with 186 yards on 15/28 through the air while his QB rating was 114. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6. Zak Wallace carried the football 11 times for 56 yards, walking away from the game with 5.1 yds per carry for Arkansas State. Arkansas State ran the football for 3.2 yds per carry, totaling 116 yards on 36 attempts. The Red Wolves finished with a total of 302 yards while running 64 plays (4.7 yds per play). The Red Wolves passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 76.0%, relinquishing 145 yds on 19 for 25 through the air. Arkansas State surrendered 40 rushing attempts for 199 yds (5.0 yards per carry).

The Arkansas State Red Wolves maintain an average of 371.4 yards per game, which ranks them 78th in the nation. The Arkansas State offense has compiled 568 yds of penalties on 58 violations, ranking them 74th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 149.2 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,492 yards for the year. They have thrown 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have obtained 196 1st downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Red Wolves are sitting 94th in the country scoring 23.5 points per contest. For the year so far, the Red Wolves currently sit at 2,222 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 222.2 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 74th in the country.

The Red Wolves are allowing 30.8 points per game, which has them sitting 106th in Division 1. Arkansas State has allowed a total of 1,754 rushing yards (175.4 yards per outing) and 18 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. In total, they have relinquished 308 total points. They have given up 17 touchdowns through the air and 256.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 116th in the nation. The Red Wolves defense has taken part in 696 plays, which has them ranked 96th in Division 1. They have totaled 4 fumbles and 4 picks this year.

Who will win tonight's Bobcats/Red Wolves college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bobcats -3

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