Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (+5)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Amon G. Carter Stadium is where the TCU Horned Frogs (4-5) will meet the Texas Longhorns (8-1) on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Texas opens this contest as 5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 54.5.

The Texas Longhorns step onto the field holding a record of 8-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Longhorns took the field against the Kansas State Wildcats and walked away with a win by a score of 33-30. Maalik Murphy connected on 19/37 with 248 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 105.8 and ended the game with 2 picks. Jonathon Brooks led the offense in rushing for the Longhorns with 22 carries for 112 yds (5.1 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 478 yards. The Texas Longhorns ran the football 37 times and totaled 230 yards, which earned them an average of 6.2 yds per carry. In the running game, the Longhorns gave up 33 yards on 29 tries, which is 1.1 yds per rush surrendered. Texas relinquished 26 pass completions on 44 tries for a total of 327 yds, and a completion rate of 59.1%.

The Longhorns have earned 4,111 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Texas has earned 16 touchdowns through the air and 18 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 12 times. Texas has accumulated 195 first downs as a team, and they have committed 52 infractions for 411 yds. As a team they are averaging 185.6 yards in the run game which has them sitting 32nd in the country. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Texas Longhorns hold an average of 34.3 PPG.

The Longhorns are sitting in 17th in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 17.6 points per game. They are allowing 3.0 yards per rushing attempt and 90.7 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. For the year, they have conceded 816 yards via the ground game in 9 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Longhorns have conceded 2,168 yards which has them sitting in 94th in Division 1. They have yielded 240.9 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 58.5%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 331.6 yards per contest ranking them 31st in Division 1. They have given up 12 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Horned Frogs come into this game with a record of 4-5 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Horned Frogs went home defeated by a final of 35-28 when they played the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Josh Hoover (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 353 yards on 32/52 passing while his QB rate was 117.2. He had 2 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.8. Emani Bailey carried the rock 19 times for 57 yards, walking away from the game with 3.0 yds per carry for TCU. The Horned Frogs finished the contest with a total of 440 yds and they ran 78 plays (5.6 yards per play). TCU rushed the football for 3.3 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 87 yds on 26 attempts. TCU surrendered 42 rushing attempts for 146 yds (3.5 yds per carry). The Horned Frogs secondary conceded a completion percentage of 77.8%, relinquishing 282 yds on 28 for 36 passing.

When looking at how much they score, the Horned Frogs are sitting 58th in college football with an average of 29.2 points per game. The TCU Horned Frogs hold an average of 462.1 yards per game, ranking them 16th in the nation. The TCU offense has compiled 475 yds of penalties on 57 violations, which is 47th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 13 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have recorded 230 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Horned Frogs have thrown for a total of 2,669 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 296.6 throwing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 16th in the country. They are averaging 165.6 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,490 yards for the season.

TCU has allowed the opposition a total of 1,336 yards via the ground game (148.4 yards per game) as well as 13 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 11 touchdowns via the pass as well as 236.4 yards/outing, which puts them in 83rd in the country. Their defense has compiled 3 fumbles recovered and 6 picks on the campaign. The Horned Frogs defense has been on the field for 643 plays, which ranks 109th in college football. The Horned Frogs are giving up 24.3 points per game, which has them sitting 59th in D-1. In total, they have surrendered 219 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs +5

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