Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Baylor Bears (1-2) will take on the Texas Longhorns (3-0) at McLane Stadium on Saturday, September 23, 2023. Baylor opens this matchup as 6-point underdogs. The total is 51.

The Texas Longhorns head into this matchup 3-0 for this season. In their last game, the Longhorns played the Wyoming Cowboys and walked away with a win by a score of 31-10. Jonathon Brooks was the rushing leader for the Longhorns with 21 carries for 164 yds (7.8 yards per attempt). Quinn Ewers went 11/21 with 131 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 136.2 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Against the run, the Longhorns gave up 155 yds on 38 tries, which is 4.1 yds per run allowed. Texas gave up 17 pass completions on 28 tries for a total of 136 yards, and a completion rate of 60.7%. In the game, they had 52 plays which totaled 316 yards. The Texas Longhorns rushed the ball a total of 31 times and recorded 185 yds, which is an average of 6.0 yards per carry.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Texas Longhorns have an average of 34.0 PPG. As a team they're maintaining an average of 149.3 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 76th in Division 1. The Longhorns have racked up 1,228 total yards for the year. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Texas has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 3 touchdowns on the ground. Texas has a total of 60 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 15 infractions for 120 yards. They have turned the ball over 1 time.

When talking about passing yards, the Longhorns are allowing 540 yards which ranks them 33rd in D-1. They have conceded 180.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 55.6%. For the year, they have allowed 276.3 yards per game which puts them 23rd in D-1. They have allowed 3 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 1 touchdown on the ground. The opposition is running for 2.9 yards per rushing attempt and 96.3 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 289 rushing yards through 3 contests. The Longhorns are sitting in 29th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 14.7 points per contest.

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The Bears head into this matchup 1-2 for this season. When they last played, the Bears got the victory with a final of 30-7 when they played the LIU Sharks. Sawyer Robertson (1 TD) ended the game with 113 yards on 10/22 through the air while his QB rate was 103.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 5.1. Dawson Pendergrass carried the football 21 times for 111 yds, ending the game with 5.3 yds per attempt for Baylor. The Bears finished the contest with a total of 391 yards while running 75 plays (5.2 yds per play). Baylor ran the football for 5.6 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 270 yards on 48 carries. Baylor gave up 29 rush attempts for 143 yards (4.9 yds per rush). The Bears secondary gave up a completion percentage of 42.9%, relinquishing 40 yards on 6 for 14 through the air.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Bears currently sit 93rd in the country holding an average of 24.7 points per outing. The Baylor Bears hold an average of 418.0 yards/game, which ranks them 52nd in college football. The Baylor offense has 95 yds of penalties on 16 infractions, which is good for 84th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 3 interceptions while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 62 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Bears have a total of 755 passing yards together with an average of 251.7 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 56th in Division 1. They are averaging 166.3 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 499 yards for the season.

The Bears are conceding 23.0 points per game, which has them ranked 72nd in the country. Baylor has allowed a total of 510 yards via the ground game (170.0 yards per outing) and 6 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. Overall, they have conceded 69 points in total. They have yielded 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 163.7 yards/outing, which puts them in 19th in the country. The Bears defense has participated in 185 plays, which is 34th in D-1. Their defense has 2 fumbles and 2 picks on the year.

Who will win tonight's Longhorns/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bears +6

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