Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Razorbacks (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-2) are welcoming the Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) at AT&T Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Arkansas opens this game as 1-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 55.5.

The Texas A&M Aggies head into this game 3-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Aggies faced the Auburn Tigers and notched a win by a score of 27-10. Le'Veon Moss was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 15 carries for 97 yds (6.5 yards per attempt). Max Johnson connected on 7/11 with 123 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 217.6 and ended the game without throwing an interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Aggies conceded 144 yds on 41 attempts, which calculates to 3.5 yds per run surrendered. Texas A&M relinquished 9 completions on 23 attempts for a total of 56 yds, and a completion percentage of 39.1%. In the game, they had 58 plays which gave them a total of 402 yards. The Texas A&M Aggies ran the football 33 times and totaled 209 yds, which had them averaging 6.3 yards per tote.

The Aggies have racked up 1,803 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Texas A&M has earned 12 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 4 different times. Texas A&M has recorded 97 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 31 infractions for 243 yards. As a team they are averaging 149.5 yards on the ground which is 74th in Division 1. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Texas A&M Aggies are sitting at 39.8 points per outing.

The Aggies are ranked 31st in the nation concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 17.8 PPG. They are allowing 3.4 yards per rush and 109.8 yards on the ground per contest this year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 439 yards via the ground game in 4 games. Regarding yards through the air, the Aggies have given up 656 yards which ranks them 15th in college football. They have surrendered 164.0 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 53.1%. Overall, they are giving up 273.8 yards per contest ranking them 14th in the nation. They have surrendered 5 touchdowns via the pass as well as 1 touchdown via the ground game.

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The Razorbacks step onto the field holding a record of 2-2 for this year. For their last game, the Razorbacks walked away with a loss by a score of 34-31 when they faced the LSU Tigers. K.J. Jefferson (3 TDs) ended the contest with 289 yds on 21/31 passing while his QB rate was 165.1. He tossed 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.3. Rashod Dubinion ran the football 15 times for 78 yds, finishing the game with 5.2 yds per attempt for Arkansas. Arkansas rushed the ball for 3.7 yds per attempt, totaling 137 yards on 37 carries. The Razorbacks finished the game with 426 yards on 68 plays (6.3 yds per play). The Razorbacks passing defense allowed a completion rate of 69.0%, surrendering 320 yds on 20 out of 29 through the air. Arkansas conceded 29 run attempts for 189 yards (6.5 yds per rush).

The Arkansas Razorbacks average 384.3 yards/game, ranking them 77th in D-1. The Arkansas offense has 314 yds of penalties on 36 infractions, which is good for 10th in college football in terms of hurting your team. They hold an average of 147.8 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 591 yards in total. They have given away 3 interceptions while surrendering 1 fumble and they have tallied 86 1st downs. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Razorbacks are sitting 32nd in the country holding an average of 36.5 PPG. For the season to this point, the Razorbacks currently have a total of 946 yards through the air not to mention holding an average of 236.5 throwing yards per game, which ranks 71st in the nation.

The Razorbacks are surrendering 22.8 points per contest, which has them ranked 61st in the nation. Arkansas has yielded a total of 356 yards on the ground (89.0 yards per outing) as well as 3 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. This season, they have relinquished 91 points. They have yielded 7 touchdowns through the air and 231.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 77th in D-1. The Razorbacks defense has been on the field for 238 plays, which has them ranked 18th in the country. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles and 6 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Razorbacks -1

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