Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Prediction, 9/16/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is the location where the Florida Gators (1-1) will try to beat the Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) on Saturday, September 16, 2023. Tennessee opens as 7-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 58.5.

The Tennessee Volunteers head into this game 2-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Volunteers played the Austin Peay Governors and walked away with a win by a score of 30-13. Joe Milton went 21/33 with 228 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 141.7 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Jaylen Wright was the best rusher for the Volunteers with 13 carries for 118 yards (9.1 yards per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they had 65 plays which gave them 456 yds. The Tennessee Volunteers rushed the ball a total of 32 times and accounted for 228 yds, which had them averaging 7.1 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Volunteers conceded 79 yds on 34 attempts, which averages out to 2.3 yds per run allowed. Tennessee relinquished 29 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 260 yds, and a completion rate of 70.7%.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Tennessee Volunteers hold an average of 39.5 points per game. Offensively they're averaging 257.5 yards in the run game which ranks them 4th in the country. The Volunteers have earned 955 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Tennessee has compiled 4 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground. Tennessee has 46 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 14 infractions for 123 yards. They have surrendered the ball 2 times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Volunteers are conceding 366 yards which ranks them 42nd in Division 1. They have surrendered 183.0 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.5%. In total, they are conceding 270.0 yards per game which has them sitting 29th in the country. They have surrendered 1 touchdown through the air and 1 touchdown via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.4 yards per rushing attempt and 87.0 rushing yards per contest so far this season. For the year, they have conceded 174 yards via the running game in 2 contests. The Volunteers sit in 24th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 13.0 PPG.

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The Gators come into this matchup with a record of 1-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Gators walked away with a victory by a final of 49-7 when they faced the McNeese State Cowboys. Montrell Johnson carried the rock 15 times for 119 yards, walking away from the game with 7.9 yards per attempt for Florida. Graham Mertz (1 touchdown) ended the game with 193 yds on 14/17 passing while his QB rating was 197.1. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 11.4. Florida conceded 26 run attempts for 46 yards (1.8 yds per carry). The Gators secondary allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 66 yards on 7 for 14 through the air. The Gators finished the game with a total of 560 yards on 74 plays (7.6 yds per play). Florida ran for 6.4 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 327 yards on 51 carries.

The Florida Gators hold an average of 453.0 yards per contest, which is good for 40th in D-1. The Florida offense has compiled 66 yds of penalties on 13 infractions, which is good for 51st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 170.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 340 yards in total. They have tossed 1 interception while losing 1 fumble and they have obtained 50 1st downs. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Gators are sitting 66th in the nation holding an average of 30.0 points per game. For the season to this point, the Gators have a total of 566 passing yards in addition to an average of 283.0 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 39th in college football.

Florida has surrendered a total of 151 yards on the ground (75.5 yards per game) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have allowed 1 touchdown through the air in addition to 115.5 yards per outing, which has them ranked 8th in the country. Their defense has totaled 0 fumbles and 0 picks this year. The Gators defense has taken the field for 93 plays, which ranks 2nd in D-1. The Gators are relinquishing 15.5 PPG, which has them ranked 37th in college football. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 31 points.

Who will win tonight's Volunteers/Gators college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Volunteers -7

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