TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Cyclones (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The TCU Horned Frogs (3-2) are on their way to Jack Trice Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023 where they will take on the Iowa State Cyclones (2-3). Iowa State opens this contest as 4-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 49.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game with a record of 3-2 this year. The last time they took the field, the Horned Frogs stepped onto the field against the West Virginia Mountaineers and took a loss by a final of 24-21. Chandler Morris went 23/41 with 298 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 133.2 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Emani Bailey was the rushing leader for the Horned Frogs with 19 totes for 55 yards (2.9 yards per carry). The TCU Horned Frogs rushed the ball a total of 38 times and accounted for 135 yards, which had them averaging 3.6 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they tallied 79 plays which totaled 433 yds. TCU conceded 10 pass completions on 21 attempts for 142 yards, and a completion rate of 47.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Horned Frogs conceded 201 yards on 43 attempts, which calculates to 4.7 yds per run allowed.

In terms of scoring, the TCU Horned Frogs are averaging 34.8 PPG. As a team they're averaging 193.6 yards on the ground which has them sitting 31st in the country. The Horned Frogs have racked up 2,437 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, TCU has amassed 12 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns. TCU has 132 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 35 infractions for 290 yds. They have turned the ball over 6 different times.

In terms of passing yards, the Horned Frogs are giving up 1,312 yards which has them ranked 113th in D-1. They are allowing 262.4 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 56.3%. Over the course of this year, they have given up 370.6 yards/game which ranks them 71st in Division 1. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 3.0 yards per run and 108.2 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 541 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Horned Frogs are ranked 43rd in the nation in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 21.0 points per game.

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The Cyclones head into this matchup 2-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Cyclones went home defeated by a final of 50-20 when they played the Oklahoma Sooners. Rocco Becht (2 TDs) finished the game with 188 yds on 15/33 passing while his QB rating was 101.2. He tossed 2 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.7. Abu Sama ran the football 7 times for 67 yds, ending the game with 9.6 yds per carry for Iowa State. The Cyclones finished the game with 352 yards on 64 plays (5.5 yds per play). Iowa State rushed the football for 5.6 yds per carry, finishing with 150 yards on 27 carries. Iowa State conceded 41 running attempts for 157 yds (3.8 yds per rush). The Cyclones secondary gave up a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 366 yds on 26 out of 39 passing.

The Iowa State Cyclones are averaging 317.0 yards per game, which ranks them 120th in the country. The Iowa State offense has accrued 236 yds of penalties on 27 infractions, which has them sitting 81st in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have an average of 96.6 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 483 yards for the season. They have given away 5 picks while conceding 0 fumbles and they have been able to tally 78 first downs. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Cyclones are 114th in D-1 holding an average of 20.8 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Cyclones have compiled 1,102 yards through the air together with an average of 220.4 passing yards per game, which is ranked 87th in Division 1.

Iowa State has surrendered a total of 618 yards on the ground (123.6 yards per outing) in addition to 4 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have yielded 7 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 215.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 54th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 0 fumbles and 6 interceptions on the year. The Cyclones defense has participated in 344 plays, which is good for 100th in the country. The Cyclones are relinquishing 23.2 points per contest, which has them sitting 54th in college football. In total, they have relinquished 116 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Horned Frogs/Cyclones college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Horned Frogs -4

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