Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-14)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

Davis Wade Stadium is where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-6) will play the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-7) on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Mississippi State opens as 14-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 46.5.

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles come into this matchup with a record of 3-7 for this season. In their last game, the Golden Eagles faced off with the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and notched a win by a score of 34-31. Billy Wiles connected on 8/13 with 99 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 150.9 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Frank Gore Jr. was the leader on the ground for the Golden Eagles with 33 carries for 158 yards (4.8 yards per carry). The Southern Miss Golden Eagles ran the football 53 different times and amassed 229 yards, which earned them an average of 4.3 yards per tote. Overall, they ran 79 plays which gave them a total of 390 yards. Southern Miss gave up 24 completions on 38 attempts for 260 yds, and a completion rate of 63.2%. Against the run, the Golden Eagles conceded 130 yards on 32 tries, which is an average of 4.1 yds per run allowed.

The Golden Eagles have tallied 3,707 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Southern Miss has totaled 12 touchdowns via the pass and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 different times. Southern Miss has accrued 214 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 62 infractions for 445 yds. Offensively they're holding an average of 169.2 yards on the ground which has them sitting 53rd in college football. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles hold an average of 24.1 PPG.

The Golden Eagles are ranked 126th in Division 1 regarding the opposition scoring, conceding 35.3 points per game. They are giving up an average of 5.2 yards per rush and 179.9 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have allowed 1,799 rushing yards through 10 contests. Concerning yards through the air, the Golden Eagles have given up 2,441 yards which ranks them 100th in D-1. They have yielded 244.1 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 58.9%. For the season, they are granting 424.0 yards/game which puts them 115th in college football. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 26 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-6 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 51-10 against the Texas A&M Aggies. Seth Davis carried the football 12 times for 79 yards, finishing the contest with 6.6 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. Mike Wright ended the contest with 68 yds on 5/9 through the air while his quarterback rating was 119. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.6. Mississippi State relinquished 45 run attempts for 246 yds (5.5 yards per carry). The Bulldogs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 52.4%, relinquishing 150 yards on 11 for 21 passing. The Bulldogs finished the contest with a total of 237 yds while running 57 plays (4.2 yds per play). Mississippi State rushed for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing with 133 yds on 36 carries.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Bulldogs are sitting 109th in D-1 holding an average of 21.4 PPG. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 325.8 yards/contest, ranking them 105th in the country. The Mississippi State offense has 561 yds of penalties on 65 violations, which is good for 42nd in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 10 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 165 1st downs. During this campaign so far, the Bulldogs have thrown for 1,831 passing yards along with holding an average of 183.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 110th in the nation. They maintain an average of 142.7 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 1,427 yards in total.

The Bulldogs are surrendering 28.2 PPG, ranking them 87th in the nation. Mississippi State has allowed a total of 1,435 yards via the ground game (143.5 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. In total, they have surrendered 282 total points. They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air and 221.9 yards/game, which has them ranked 58th in college football. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 652 plays, which ranks 51st in college football. Their defense has earned 4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks for the season.

Who will win tonight's Golden Eagles/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -14

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