SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Horned Frogs (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

The TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) are hosting the SMU Mustangs (2-1) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, September 23, 2023. TCU is 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total has been set at 63.5.

The SMU Mustangs come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Mustangs took the field against the Prairie View A&M Panthers and notched a win by a score of 69-0. Preston Stone connected on 15/20 with 300 yds through the air and 5 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 273.5 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Camar Wheaton led the offense in rushing for the Mustangs with 16 attempts for 75 yds (4.7 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they ran 65 plays which converted into 566 yds. The SMU Mustangs ended up running the ball 39 times and accrued 177 yds, which earned them an average of 4.5 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Mustangs conceded 94 yards on 40 tries, which is 2.4 yds per run surrendered. SMU allowed 7 completions on 17 tries for a total of 62 yds, and a completion percentage of 41.2%.

The Mustangs have earned 1,390 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, SMU has compiled 11 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 3 different times. SMU has amassed 73 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 15 penalties for 125 yards. As a unit they have an average of 167.7 yards on the ground which is 61st in Division 1. Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the SMU Mustangs hold an average of 39.3 PPG.

Regarding passing yards, the Mustangs have given up 479 yds which puts them in 17th in D-1. They have given up 159.7 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.1%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 263.3 yards per game putting them at 14th in the nation. They have yielded 5 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground. They are allowing 2.8 yards per rush on the ground and 103.7 rushing yards per contest on the year. In total, they have conceded 311 rushing yards through 3 games. The Mustangs rank 24th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 14.0 PPG.

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The Horned Frogs step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Horned Frogs got the victory with a final of 36-13 when they played the Houston Cougars. Chandler Morris (2 TDs) ended the contest with 314 yards on 24/37 through the air while his QB rating was 148.6. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 8.5. Emani Bailey ran the ball 23 times for 126 yds, ending the game with 5.5 yds per carry for TCU. TCU ran for 4.9 yards per attempt, finishing with 250 yds on 51 attempts. The Horned Frogs finished with a total of 564 yards on 88 plays (6.4 yards per play). The Horned Frogs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 48.6%, relinquishing 225 yards on 17 out of 35 through the air. TCU allowed 27 running attempts for 41 yards (1.5 yds per rush).

In terms of their ability to score points, the Horned Frogs are ranking 25th in the nation maintaining an average of 39.7 PPG. The TCU Horned Frogs average 515.7 yards per contest, which ranks them 13th in D-1. The TCU offense has compiled 203 yards of penalties on 22 violations, which ranks 31st in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 4 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have recorded 84 1st downs. For the year thus far, the Horned Frogs currently sit at 906 passing yards not to mention an average of 302.0 passing yards per outing, putting them at 23rd in the nation. They average 213.7 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 641 yards in total.

TCU has allowed a total of 182 yards on the ground (60.7 yards per contest) as well as 2 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have given up 4 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 304.0 yards per outing, which has them in 125th in D-1. They have tallied 2 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions so far this year. The Horned Frogs defense has participated in 218 plays, which is 109th in Division 1. The Horned Frogs are conceding 21.3 PPG, which has them ranked 61st in Division 1. Overall, they have conceded 64 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Horned Frogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mustangs +7

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