SMU Mustangs vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 67.5

The Memphis Tigers (8-2) will try to defeat the SMU Mustangs (8-2) at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Saturday, November 18, 2023. SMU opens this contest as 3-point favorites. The betting total is set at 67.5.

The SMU Mustangs come into this game with a record of 8-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Mustangs played against the North Texas Mean Green and notched a win by a score of 45-21. Preston Stone went 11/20 with 234 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 176.3 and ended the game with 1 pick. Jaylan Knighton was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 17 attempts for 129 yards (7.6 yards per attempt). The SMU Mustangs ended up rushing 58 times and had 318 yards, which is an average of 5.5 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 78 plays which totaled 552 yards. SMU gave up 18 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 240 yards, and a completion rate of 58.1%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Mustangs conceded 132 yds on 33 attempts, which is 4.0 yds per run allowed.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the SMU Mustangs are averaging 40.5 points per contest. As a unit they hold an average of 188.4 yards rushing ranking them 28th in Division 1. The Mustangs have earned 4,732 total yards for the season. In terms of scoring touchdowns, SMU has earned 26 passing touchdowns and 21 touchdowns via the ground. SMU has accrued 247 1st downs, and they have committed 46 infractions for 399 yds. They have surrendered the football 9 times.

The Mustangs sit in 9th in D-1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 16.4 points per game. They are giving up 3.2 yards per rushing attempt and 117.0 yards on the ground per game this season. Overall, they have given up 1,170 yards via the ground game in 10 outings. Regarding yards through the air, the Mustangs have conceded 1,738 yds which has them ranked 13th in Division 1. They have relinquished 173.8 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 57.4%. Over the course of this season, they are surrendering 290.8 yards per outing ranking them 11th in the country. They have granted 14 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 8-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Tigers took home the win by a final score of 44-38 when they faced the Charlotte 49ers. Seth Henigan (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 329 yards on 32/48 through the air while his QB rating was 133.8. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 6.9. Blake Watson ran the ball 22 times for 83 yds, ending the game with 3.8 yards per carry for Memphis. The Tigers finished the contest with a total of 430 yds while running 80 plays (5.4 yds per play). Memphis rushed the football for 3.3 yds per attempt, finishing with 101 yds on 31 carries. Memphis allowed 39 run attempts for 223 yards (5.7 yds per rush). The Tigers passing defense conceded a completion rate of 53.8%, surrendering 168 yds on 14 out of 26 passing.

When it comes to their ability to score points, the Tigers are 9th in college football by tallying 39.7 points per game. The Memphis Tigers are averaging 452.3 yards per outing, which has them sitting 21st in college football. The Memphis offense has racked up 471 penalty yds on 46 violations, which ranks them 115th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 9 picks while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to tally 226 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Tigers have thrown for a total of 2,965 passing yards in addition to an average of 296.5 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 14th in D-1. They are averaging 155.8 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,558 yards for the year.

Memphis has conceded a total of 1,725 yards on the ground (172.5 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have given up 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 242.2 yards per game, which has them in 96th in the nation. Their defense has 9 fumbles and 10 picks for the year. The Tigers defense has taken the field for 683 plays, ranking them 85th in Division 1. The Tigers are relinquishing 28.9 PPG, ranking them 99th in D-1. Over the course of the season, they have given up 289 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers +3

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