SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles Prediction, 12/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles

Date: Thursday, December 28, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Eagles (+8)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston College Eagles (6-6) will take on the SMU Mustangs (11-2) on Thursday, December 28, 2023 in the Wasabi Fenway Bowl. Boston College is 8-point dogs. The total is set at 50.5.

The SMU Mustangs head into this game 11-2 for this season. In their last game, the Mustangs took on the Tulane Green Wave and went home with a win by a final score of 26-14. Kevin Jennings went 19/33 with 203 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 107.1 and walked away from the game with 2 picks. Jaylan Knighton was the rushing leader for the Mustangs with 15 totes for 75 yds (5.0 yards per carry). The SMU Mustangs ended up rushing 45 times and recorded 184 yds, which earned them an average of 4.1 yds per carry. At the end of the game, they had 78 plays which converted into 387 yds. SMU relinquished 21 pass completions on 36 attempts for 238 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.3%. Against the rush, the Mustangs gave up 31 yds on 26 tries, which averages out to 1.2 yards per rush surrendered.

Regarding scoring, the SMU Mustangs are sitting at 40.6 points per game. As a unit they hold an average of 180.4 yards in the run game ranking them 38th in the country. The Mustangs have tallied 6,052 total yards this season. With reference to getting in the endzone, SMU has totaled 33 touchdowns via the pass and 29 rushing touchdowns. SMU has accumulated 312 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 59 infractions for 514 yards. They have turned the football over 13 times.

The Mustangs are ranked 12th in Division 1 regarding team defense, allowing 17.4 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.2 yards per run and 111.2 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,446 rushing yards through 13 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Mustangs have given up 2,449 yards which has them sitting in 28th in the nation. They have allowed 188.4 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 57.8%. In total, they are conceding 299.5 yards per outing which has them sitting 12th in D-1. They have granted 17 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Eagles head into this game 6-6 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Eagles took a loss by a final score of 45-20 when they faced the Miami Hurricanes. Thomas Castellanos (1 TD) ended the game with 171 yards on 13/25 through the air while his quarterback rating was 106.7. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.8. Kye Robichaux ran the football 24 times for 118 yds, ending the game with 4.9 yards per carry for Boston College. Boston College rushed for 5.5 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 143 yards on 26 attempts. The Eagles finished the contest with a total of 294 yds on 51 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Eagles pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 63.9%, surrendering 290 yds on 23 out of 36 through the air. Boston College surrendered 40 running attempts for 242 yds (6.1 yards per rush).

The Boston College Eagles have an average of 382.7 yards/game, which ranks them 67th in the country. The Boston College offense has 677 penalty yards on 79 violations, which is good for 40th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 193.5 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 2,322 yards for the season. They have given away 13 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to earn 260 1st downs. When discussing their ability to score points, the Eagles rank 83rd in college football holding an average of 25.0 points per contest. For the season so far, the Eagles have compiled 2,270 yards through the air in addition to an average of 189.2 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 105th in college football.

Boston College has conceded a total of 2,326 rushing yards (193.8 yards per game) in addition to 29 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. They have given up 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 197.7 yards per game, which puts them in 28th in D-1. They have compiled 8 fumbles recovered and 8 picks on the season. The Eagles defense has taken part in 718 plays, which ranks them 9th in the country. The Eagles are relinquishing 29.5 points per game, ranking them 96th in the country. In total, they have allowed 354 total points.

Who will win tonight's Mustangs/Eagles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Eagles +8

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