San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rams (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Colorado State Rams (3-6) welcome the San Diego State Aztecs (3-6) at Canvas Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023. San Diego State is 3-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 50.5.

The San Diego State Aztecs head into this matchup 3-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Aztecs played the Utah State Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 32-24. Jalen Mayden went 25/39 with 265 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 141.4 and finished the game with 1 pick. Lucky Sutton was the rushing leader for the Aztecs with 11 carries for 86 yds (7.8 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 71 plays which gave them 384 yds. The San Diego State Aztecs ran the football 31 times and accounted for 121 yards, which is an average of 3.9 yards per carry. On the ground, the Aztecs gave up 171 yards on 44 tries, which is 3.9 yds per rush surrendered. San Diego State conceded 23 completions on 32 tries for 229 yds, and a completion rate of 71.9%.

The Aztecs have racked up 2,924 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, San Diego State has compiled 9 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 14 different times. San Diego State has 150 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 52 infractions for 463 yds. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 144.1 yards in the run game which has them sitting 85th in the country. In terms of scoring, the San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 20.1 points per game.

The Aztecs are ranked 95th in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 28.6 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per running attempt and 163.8 rushing yards per contest this season. For the year, they have allowed 1,474 rushing yards through 9 games. When talking about passing yards, the Aztecs are allowing 2,286 yards which puts them in 109th in the nation. They have conceded 254.0 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 55.3%. Overall, they are allowing 417.8 yards per contest ranking them 110th in Division 1. They have given up 15 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Rams step onto the field holding a record of 3-6 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Rams took a loss by a final score of 24-15 against the Wyoming Cowboys. Avery Morrow carried the ball 11 times for 39 yds, finishing the game with 3.5 yards per attempt for Colorado State. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 220 yards on 24/42 through the air while his QB rating was 107.3. He threw 2 picks and his Y/A was 5.2. Colorado State gave up 45 attempts on the ground for 194 yards (4.3 yds per rush). The Rams passing defense gave up a completion rate of 68.2%, relinquishing 140 yards on 15 for 22 passing. The Rams finished the contest with 274 yds on 63 plays (4.3 yards per play). Colorado State rushed the ball for 2.6 yards per carry, finishing with 54 yards on 21 carries.

The Colorado State Rams hold an average of 390.9 yards per outing, which is good for 64th in Division 1. The Colorado State offense has 630 yards of penalties on 71 infractions, which has them ranked 8th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 71.8 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 646 yards for the year. They have thrown 15 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have tallied 182 1st downs. Regarding how much they score, the Rams currently rank 76th in Division 1 averaging 26.3 points per outing. Over the course of the season thus far, the Rams currently sit at 2,872 yards through the air along with holding an average of 319.1 passing yards per game, which is ranked 9th in D-1.

Colorado State has given up a total of 1,566 yards via the ground game (174.0 yards/game) and 14 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 258.7 yards per outing, which has them ranked 117th in the country. Their defense has earned 10 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions on the campaign. The Rams defense has taken the field for 675 plays, which is good for 123rd in college football. The Rams are surrendering 32.1 PPG, ranking them 114th in the country. This season, they have allowed 289 points.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Rams college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aztecs +3

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