San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-11)

Total/Over-Under: 43

The San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) are headed to Falcon Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023 where they will play the Air Force Falcons (4-0). Air Force opens as 11-point favorites. The over/under is 43.

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 this season. The last time they took the field, the Aztecs played the Boise State Broncos and took a loss by a final of 34-31. Jalen Mayden was the best rusher for the Aztecs with 16 attempts for 85 yards (5.3 yds per carry). Jalen Mayden finished 16/22 with 241 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 179.7 and finished the contest with no picks. On the ground, the Aztecs gave up 241 yds on 41 attempts, which is an average of 5.9 yards per run allowed. San Diego State surrendered 12 pass completions on 22 tries for 162 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. At the end of the game, they had 63 plays which gave them a total of 439 yards. The San Diego State Aztecs ran the ball 40 different times and accrued 166 yards, earning them an average of 4.2 yards per attempt.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 21.2 points per contest. As a team they are averaging 151.4 yards on the ground which is 73rd in the nation. The Aztecs have earned 1,731 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, San Diego State has totaled 4 touchdowns via the pass and 8 touchdowns via the ground. San Diego State has recorded 91 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 30 infractions for 250 yds. They have turned the ball over 10 times.

The Aztecs rank 88th in college football concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 27.2 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 163.8 rushing yards per game on the season. Overall, they have allowed 819 rushing yards through 5 games. Concerning yards through the air, the Aztecs are giving up 1,343 yards which puts them in 131st in the country. They have given up 268.6 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 51.8%. For the year, they have yielded 432.4 yards/game which has them ranked 123rd in Division 1. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns by air as well as 8 touchdowns pounding the rock.

Get all of our College Football Expert Picks

The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Falcons went home victorious with a score of 45-20 when they played the San Jose State Spartans. Zachar Larrier ended the game with 28 yds on 2/2 passing while his QB rating was 217.6. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 14.0. Emmanuel Michel carried the ball 33 times for 148 yds, finishing the game with 4.5 yds per carry for Air Force. Air Force ran for 5.5 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 400 yds on 73 attempts. The Falcons finished with 428 yards while running 75 plays (5.7 yds per play). The Falcons pass defense allowed a completion rate of 68.6%, relinquishing 239 yards on 24 out of 35 passing. Air Force relinquished 17 run attempts for 115 yds (6.8 yds per carry).

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Falcons are sitting 39th in Division 1 by scoring 34.8 points per game. The Air Force Falcons have an average of 395.8 yards per game, which has them ranked 66th in college football. The Air Force offense has racked up 133 yds of penalties on 14 violations, which has them sitting 125th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 0 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 91 1st downs. For the season so far, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 221 yards via the pass as well as an average of 55.3 passing yards per contest, putting them at 133rd in the nation. They average 340.5 run yards per game and have run for 1,362 yards for the season.

Air Force has allowed a total of 248 yards rushing (62.0 yards per outing) and 3 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 161.0 yards per game, ranking them 12th in D-1. Their defense has tallied 3 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions so far this season. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 207 plays, which is 3rd in the country. The Falcons are relinquishing 12.8 PPG, which has them sitting 16th in Division 1. In total, they have given up 51 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Aztecs/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -11

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here