Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 10/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Wednesday, October 11, 2023

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The New Mexico State Aggies (3-3) host the Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-5) at Aggie Memorial Stadium on Wednesday, October 11, 2023. Sam Houston State opens as 2-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 43.5.

The Sam Houston State Bearkats head into this matchup 0-5 for this year. In their last matchup, the Bearkats played the Liberty Flames and took a loss by a score of 21-16. Keegan Shoemaker finished 27/41 with 255 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 129.3 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Keegan Shoemaker was the rushing leader for the Bearkats with 7 attempts for 52 yds (7.4 yds per attempt). In all, they ran 64 plays which gave them 327 yards. The Sam Houston State Bearkats ran the rock 22 times and accounted for 72 yds, which earned them an average of 3.3 yds per attempt. On the ground, the Bearkats conceded 191 yards on 43 attempts, which calculates to 4.4 yds per run surrendered. Sam Houston State gave up 11 pass completions on 19 tries for 257 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.9%.

Concerning scoring, the Sam Houston State Bearkats have an average of 10.8 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 66.8 yards in the run game ranking this team at 131st in Division 1. The Bearkats have tallied 1,205 total yards for the season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Sam Houston State has earned 4 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. Sam Houston State has compiled 68 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 30 infractions for 273 yards. They have surrendered the ball 7 times.

The Bearkats sit in 64th in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 24.2 PPG. They are allowing 4.5 yards per rush and 185.8 rushing yards per game so far this season. In total, they have conceded 929 yards on the ground through 5 outings. Concerning passing yards, the Bearkats have given up 965 yds which has them ranked 15th in college football. They have surrendered 193.0 yards per game through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 61.5%. Overall, they have allowed 378.8 yards per outing which has them sitting 77th in Division 1. They have yielded 6 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Aggies head into this game 3-3 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies took home the win by a final score of 34-17 against the FIU Panthers. Diego Pavia (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 256 yards on 20/31 through the air while his quarterback rating was 148.7. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.3. Ahmonte Watkins carried the rock 5 times for 89 yds, finishing the game with 17.8 yards per carry for New Mexico State. New Mexico State ran the football for 5.9 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 183 yards on 31 carries. The Aggies finished the game with a total of 439 yards and they ran 62 plays (7.1 yds per play). The Aggies pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 80.0%, surrendering 310 yds on 28 for 35 passing. New Mexico State allowed 29 attempts on the ground for 87 yards (3.0 yards per carry).

The New Mexico State Aggies maintain an average of 436.3 yards per outing, which ranks them 36th in D-1. The New Mexico State offense has 320 yards of penalties on 29 infractions, which has them ranked 92nd in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 198.3 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,190 yards overall. They have thrown 5 interceptions while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 117 first downs. When it comes to how much they score, the Aggies currently sit 65th in Division 1 with an average of 30.5 points per contest. For the season thus far, the Aggies have compiled 1,428 yards through the air together with an average of 238.0 throwing yards per game, which is ranked 65th in the country.

The Aggies are relinquishing 24.8 points per game, ranking them 66th in the nation. New Mexico State has allowed a total of 818 yards rushing (136.3 yards per game) and 11 touchdowns via the rush on the year. This season, they have given up 149 total points. They have allowed 6 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 247.5 yards per outing, which has them in 100th in Division 1. The Aggies defense has taken the field for 391 plays, which ranks 85th in D-1. They have compiled 3 fumbles and 2 interceptions over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Bearkats/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bearkats +2

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