Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, MI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Wolverines (-28)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Purdue Boilermakers (2-6) are headed to Michigan Stadium on Saturday, November 4, 2023 where they will play the Michigan Wolverines (8-0). Purdue opens as 28-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 48.

The Purdue Boilermakers come into this game with a record of 2-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Boilermakers faced the Nebraska Cornhuskers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-14. Devin Mockobee was the rushing leader for the Boilermakers with 7 carries for 42 yards (6.0 yds per carry). Hudson Card connected on 16/32 with 100 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 74.1 and ended the contest with 2 picks. On the ground, the Boilermakers conceded 155 yards on 48 tries, which is an average of 3.2 yds per rush allowed. Purdue conceded 6 completions on 11 tries for a total of 122 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. In all, they ran 62 plays for 195 yards. The Purdue Boilermakers ended up running the ball 29 different times and totaled 96 yds, which had them averaging 3.3 yds per attempt.

The Boilermakers currently have 2,794 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Purdue has amassed 8 touchdowns via the pass and 13 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 13 different times. Purdue has recorded 165 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 52 infractions for 468 yards. As a team they're averaging 133.8 yards via the ground game ranking them 94th in the nation. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Purdue Boilermakers are sitting at 21.9 PPG.

In terms of passing yardage, the Boilermakers are allowing 1,815 yards which puts them in 61st in the country. They have conceded 226.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 54.8%. During this campaign, they have surrendered 380.6 yards/outing ranking them 73rd in the nation. They have conceded 14 touchdowns by air in addition to 15 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing 4.1 yards per tote and 153.8 rushing yards per game for the season. For the year, they have conceded 1,230 yards via the running game in 8 contests. The Boilermakers sit in 104th in D-1 concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 30.0 points per contest.

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The Wolverines head into this matchup 8-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Wolverines went home victorious with a score of 49-0 when they faced the Michigan State Spartans. Blake Corum ran the ball 15 times for 59 yds, finishing the game with 3.9 yards per carry for Michigan. J.J. McCarthy (4 TDs) ended the contest with 287 yards on 21/27 through the air while his QB rate was 216. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.6. Michigan gave up 29 rushing attempts for 49 yards (1.7 yards per carry). The Wolverines secondary allowed a completion rate of 55.2%, relinquishing 133 yards on 16 out of 29 passing. The Wolverines finished the contest with a total of 477 yards while running 69 plays (6.9 yards per play). Michigan ran the ball for 3.5 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 120 yds on 34 carries.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Wolverines rank 6th in the country with an average of 40.6 points per game. The Michigan Wolverines average 421.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 46th in Division 1. The Michigan offense has compiled 198 penalty yds on 23 infractions, which is 131st in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 4 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumbles and they have been able to earn 179 1st downs. During this campaign so far, the Wolverines have thrown for a total of 1,979 yards through the air along with an average of 247.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 53rd in college football. They are averaging 174.3 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,394 yards in total.

Michigan has conceded a total of 686 yards on the ground (85.8 yards/game) in addition to 2 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have given up 3 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 141.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 1st in Division 1. Their defense has 3 fumbles and 11 picks this season. The Wolverines defense has been on the field for 434 plays, which ranks 1st in Division 1. The Wolverines are giving up 5.9 points per contest, which puts them 1st in college football. This season, they have conceded 47 points.

Who will win tonight's Boilermakers/Wolverines college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Boilermakers +28

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