Penn State Nittany Lions vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Penn State Nittany Lions vs Maryland Terrapins

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: SECU Stadium in College Park, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Terrapins (+12)

Total/Over-Under: 50

SECU Stadium is the location where the Maryland Terrapins (5-3) will try to beat the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-1) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Penn State opens as 12-point favorites. The total has been set at 50.

The Penn State Nittany Lions head into this matchup 7-1 for this season. In their last matchup, the Nittany Lions took the field against the Indiana Hoosiers and notched a win by a score of 33-24. Kaytron Allen was the best rusher for the Nittany Lions with 18 attempts for 81 yds (4.5 yards per carry). Drew Allar connected on 20/31 with 210 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 146.9 and finished the contest with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Nittany Lions conceded 80 yards on 34 attempts, which is an average of 2.4 yards per run surrendered. Penn State conceded 13 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 269 yds, and a completion rate of 68.4%. For the game, they tallied 74 plays which gave them 342 yards. The Penn State Nittany Lions ran the ball a total of 43 times and had 132 yds, which earned them an average of 3.1 yds per carry.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the Penn State Nittany Lions hold an average of 38.9 points per game. As a team they hold an average of 175.1 yards on the ground which is 43rd in Division 1. The Nittany Lions currently have 3,142 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Penn State has compiled 19 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns. Penn State has recorded 190 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 42 infractions for 372 yds. They have surrendered the football 4 times.

Regarding passing yards, the Nittany Lions are conceding 1,282 yds which has them ranked 4th in college football. They have conceded 160.3 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 53.0%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 234.5 yards per outing ranking them 2nd in D-1. They have granted 5 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 2.3 yards per rushing attempt and 74.3 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 594 rushing yards through 8 games. The Nittany Lions are ranked 3rd in D-1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 11.5 PPG.

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The Terrapins come into this game with a record of 5-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Terrapins took a loss by a score of 33-27 when they faced the Northwestern Wildcats. Colby McDonald ran the football 5 times for 43 yds, ending the game with 8.6 yds per carry for Maryland. Taulia Tagovailoa (3 TDs) ended the contest with 274 yds on 30/47 through the air while his quarterback rating was 129.6. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.8. Maryland gave up 40 attempts on the ground for 99 yards (2.5 yds per rush). The Terrapins pass defense gave up a completion rate of 69.6%, relinquishing 265 yards on 16 out of 23 passing. The Terrapins finished with 391 yds and they ran 74 plays (5.3 yds per play). Maryland rushed for 4.3 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 117 yards on 27 carries.

The Maryland Terrapins maintain an average of 418.4 yards per outing, ranking them 48th in college football. The Maryland offense has compiled 428 yards of penalties on 40 infractions, which ranks 105th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They maintain an average of 137.9 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,103 yards for the season. They have tossed 6 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have obtained 183 first downs. Concerning how much they score, the Terrapins are ranking 37th in D-1 averaging 32.6 points per contest. For the year thus far, the Terrapins currently have a total of 2,244 yards via the pass as well as an average of 280.5 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 30th in D-1.

The Terrapins are relinquishing 20.4 points per contest, which has them ranked 31st in college football. Maryland has allowed a total of 874 yards on the ground (109.3 yards per contest) as well as 5 touchdowns rushing on the campaign. This season, they have allowed 163 points in total. They have yielded 11 touchdowns through the air and 231.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 72nd in college football. The Terrapins defense has participated in 533 plays, which is good for 67th in the nation. Their defense has 4 fumbles and 9 interceptions so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Nittany Lions/Terrapins college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nittany Lions -12

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