Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, 12/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Date: Saturday, December 30, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Nittany Lions (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) are traveling to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, December 30, 2023 where they will attempt to beat the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl. Ole Miss opens as 3-point underdogs. The total is 48.5.

The Ole Miss Rebels head into this matchup 10-2 for this year. In their last matchup, the Rebels played the Mississippi State Bulldogs and went home with a win by a final score of 17-7. Jaxson Dart finished 24/31 with 310 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 193.4 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. Quinshon Judkins was the best rusher for the Rebels with 18 carries for 65 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). The Ole Miss Rebels rushed the ball a total of 49 times and recorded 211 yards, earning them an average of 4.3 yds per attempt. At the end of the game, they had 75 plays which totaled 307 yds. Ole Miss conceded 25 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 207 yards, and a completion rate of 64.1%. On the ground, the Rebels conceded 96 yds on 28 attempts, which is 3.4 yds per run allowed.

Regarding scoring points, the Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 34.8 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 178.8 yards rushing which ranks them 41st in the nation. The Rebels have earned 5,465 yards in total for the season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Ole Miss has compiled 23 passing touchdowns and 28 touchdowns on the ground. Ole Miss has accumulated 275 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 89 infractions for 742 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times.

Concerning passing yardage, the Rebels have allowed 2,640 yards which ranks them 57th in Division 1. They have given up 220.0 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 61.9%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 371.9 yards per contest which ranks them 59th in college football. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns through the air and 19 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per running attempt and 151.9 rushing yards per contest this season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,823 yards via the ground game in 12 outings. The Rebels are sitting in 43rd in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 22.3 PPG.

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The Nittany Lions head into this matchup 10-2 for this season. In their last game, the Nittany Lions got the victory with a final of 42-0 when they played the Michigan State Spartans. Drew Allar finished the contest with 79 yds on 6/13 passing while his quarterback rate was 97.2. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.1. Beau Pribula ran the ball 8 times for 71 yds, walking away from the contest with 8.9 yds per attempt for Penn State. The Nittany Lions finished the game with 586 yds on 67 plays (8.7 yards per play). Penn State ran the football for 7.3 yards per tote, totaling 283 yds on 39 attempts. Penn State gave up 27 running attempts for -35 yards (-1.3 yards per rush). The Nittany Lions passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.0%, relinquishing 88 yds on 12 for 20 through the air.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Nittany Lions sit 12th in the nation scoring 37.2 PPG. The Penn State Nittany Lions maintain an average of 391.0 yards/game, which has them sitting 61st in D-1. The Penn State offense has totaled 514 yds of penalties on 59 infractions, which ranks 108th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 1 picks while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 271 first downs. During the season so far, the Nittany Lions have earned 2,452 passing yards as well as an average of 204.3 passing yards per outing, ranking them 93rd in the country. They have an average of 186.7 yards via the ground game and have run for 2,240 yards for the season.

Penn State has conceded a total of 836 rushing yards (69.7 yards/game) as well as 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the season. They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 153.6 yards per outing, which puts them in 3rd in the nation. Their defense has totaled 12 fumbles and 12 picks this year. The Nittany Lions defense has been on the field for 686 plays, which is good for 3rd in college football. The Nittany Lions are surrendering 11.4 points per game, which puts them 3rd in D-1. In total, they have given up 137 pts.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Nittany Lions -3

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