Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Thursday, November 23, 2023

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-6) will play the Ole Miss Rebels (9-2) at Davis Wade Stadium on Thursday, November 23, 2023. Ole Miss is 1-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 55.5.

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 9-2 this season. In their last matchup, the Rebels faced the UL Monroe Warhawks and walked away with a win by a score of 35-3. Jaxson Dart finished 24/31 with 310 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 193.4 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Quinshon Judkins was the leader on the ground for the Rebels with 18 attempts for 65 yds (3.6 yds per attempt). For the game, they tallied 73 plays for 496 yards. The Ole Miss Rebels ended up running the ball 37 different times and amassed 125 yards, which earned them an average of 3.4 yards per tote. On the ground, the Rebels gave up 192 yds on 46 tries, which averages out to 4.2 yards per rush allowed. Ole Miss relinquished 8 completions on 22 tries for 66 yds, and a completion percentage of 36.4%.

The Rebels have tallied 5,158 total yards this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Ole Miss has earned 22 passing touchdowns and 28 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 7 different times. Ole Miss has recorded 253 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 83 penalties for 712 yds. As a team they're averaging 175.9 yards on the ground which has them sitting 46th in D-1. When talking about scoring points, the Ole Miss Rebels are sitting at 36.5 points per game.

The Rebels are ranked 51st in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 23.7 PPG. The opposition is running for 3.9 yards per tote and 157.0 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,727 rushing yards through 11 outings. In terms of yards through the air, the Rebels have given up 2,433 yards which puts them in 59th in college football. They have conceded 221.2 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 61.6%. During this campaign, they are granting 378.2 yards per contest which puts them 67th in D-1. They have yielded 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 18 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 5-6 this season. The last time they took the field, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 41-20 against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Will Rogers (2 TDs) ended the game with 144 yds on 12/27 through the air while his quarterback rating was 113.7. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.3. Jeffery Pittman carried the ball 10 times for 98 yards, walking away from the game with 9.8 yards per carry for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs finished the game with a total of 382 yards while they ran 72 plays (5.3 yards per play). Mississippi State ran the ball for 5.3 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 238 yards on 45 carries. Mississippi State relinquished 41 attempts on the ground for 105 yards (2.6 yds per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 52.4%, surrendering 141 yds on 11 for 21 passing.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs currently rank 94th in the nation averaging 23.2 PPG. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 330.9 yards/contest, which is good for 105th in Division 1. The Mississippi State offense has compiled 626 yds of penalties on 72 violations, ranking them 44th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 10 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have tallied 183 first downs. During the season to this point, the Bulldogs currently sit at 1,975 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 179.5 passing yards per outing, ranking them 114th in the nation. They hold an average of 151.4 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,665 yards for the year.

Mississippi State has given up a total of 1,540 rushing yards (140.0 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have allowed 20 touchdowns via the pass as well as 214.5 yards per contest, which has them sitting 47th in the country. Their defense has tallied 6 fumbles and 7 picks on the year. The Bulldogs defense has taken part in 714 plays, which has them sitting 49th in the country. The Bulldogs are giving up 27.5 PPG, which has them sitting 86th in the country. This season, they have conceded 303 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Rebels +1

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