Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, AL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Auburn Tigers (3-3) will compete against the Ole Miss Rebels (5-1) at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023. Ole Miss is 2-point favorites. The over/under is 56.5.

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game with a record of 5-1 for this year. In their last contest, the Rebels faced the Arkansas Razorbacks and took home the win by a score of 27-20. Jaxson Dart connected on 16/25 with 153 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 128.6 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Ulysses Bentley IV was the rushing leader for the Rebels with 13 attempts for 94 yards (7.2 yards per carry). The Ole Miss Rebels ran the rock 45 different times and compiled 196 yds, earning them an average of 4.4 yds per carry. Overall, they ran 70 plays for 349 yds. Ole Miss surrendered 25 pass completions on 39 tries for a total of 250 yds, and a completion rate of 64.1%. When it came to stopping the run, the Rebels conceded 36 yards on 29 tries, which averages out to 1.2 yards per rush allowed.

The Rebels have racked up 2,936 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Ole Miss has earned 14 touchdowns through the air and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 3 different times. Ole Miss has accrued 139 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 41 penalties for 390 yards. As a unit they average 183.3 yards on the ground ranking them 39th in Division 1. In terms of scoring, the Ole Miss Rebels hold an average of 41.7 points per contest.

The Rebels are sitting in 60th in D-1 regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 23.8 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.2 yards per running attempt and 126.8 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have conceded 761 rushing yards through 6 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Rebels have allowed 1,569 yds which puts them in 87th in college football. They are giving up 261.5 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.0%. For the year, they have yielded 388.3 yards per game which puts them 82nd in college football. They have yielded 10 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Tigers head into this game 3-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Tigers took a loss by a final score of 48-18 when they faced the LSU Tigers. Payton Thorne finished the contest with 102 yds on 12/23 passing while his quarterback rating was 89.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 4.4. Jeremiah Cobb ran the football 10 times for 69 yds, finishing the game with 6.9 yds per carry for Auburn. Auburn rushed for 4.1 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 139 yards on 34 attempts. The Tigers finished the contest with a total of 293 yards while running 61 plays (4.8 yds per play). The Tigers secondary conceded a completion rate of 74.1%, relinquishing 325 yds on 20 out of 27 through the air. Auburn relinquished 39 attempts on the ground for 238 yards (6.1 yds per rush).

The Auburn Tigers maintain an average of 347.3 yards per game, which has them ranked 102nd in Division 1. The Auburn offense has 252 yds of penalties on 32 infractions, which is good for 99th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They maintain an average of 191.5 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,149 yards overall. They have given away 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have earned 114 1st downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Tigers currently rank 77th in college football averaging 27.7 points per outing. Over the course of the season so far, the Tigers have thrown for a total of 935 passing yards in addition to an average of 155.8 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 123rd in the country.

Auburn has conceded a total of 881 yards on the ground (146.8 yards per outing) in addition to 9 touchdowns via the rush this year. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 216.0 yards/outing, ranking them 50th in Division 1. They have earned 4 fumbles and 7 picks on the year. The Tigers defense has taken part in 377 plays, which ranks 16th in D-1. The Tigers are relinquishing 23.2 points per game, which has them ranked 53rd in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 139 pts.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rebels -2

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