Ole Miss Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Crimson Tide (-16)

Total/Over-Under: 55

The Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) are hitting the road to Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, September 23, 2023 where they will attempt to defeat the Alabama Crimson Tide (2-1). Alabama opens this matchup as 16-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 55.

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 this season. In their last matchup, the Rebels stepped onto the field against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and earned the victory with a final of 48-23. Jaxson Dart finished 10/18 with 251 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 191 and finished the contest with no picks. Jaxson Dart was the best rusher for the Rebels with 14 attempts for 136 yards (9.7 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they had 56 plays which totaled 550 yards. The Ole Miss Rebels ended up rushing 37 times and totaled 299 yds, which came out to an average of 8.1 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Rebels gave up 167 yds on 47 attempts, which calculates to 3.6 yds per run allowed. Ole Miss allowed 28 pass completions on 42 tries for a total of 307 yards, and a completion percentage of 66.7%.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Ole Miss Rebels are sitting at 52.7 PPG. As a team they're averaging 177.0 yards rushing ranking them 50th in the nation. The Rebels have earned 1,580 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Ole Miss has amassed 9 touchdowns through the air and 9 rushing touchdowns. Ole Miss has recorded 69 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 17 infractions for 156 yds. They have turned the ball over 2 different times.

When talking about yards through the air, the Rebels are giving up 680 yds which puts them in 80th in the country. They have surrendered 226.7 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 54.5%. For the season, they have surrendered 350.3 yards/outing which ranks them 69th in Division 1. They have yielded 3 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for an average of 2.9 yards per running attempt and 123.7 rushing yards per game on the season. For the season, they have given up 371 rushing yards through 3 games. The Rebels are ranked 39th in Division 1 concerning team defense, conceding 16.7 points per contest.

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The Crimson Tide come into this game with a record of 2-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Crimson Tide took home the win by a final score of 17-3 against the USF Bulls. Roydell Williams carried the ball 17 times for 129 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.6 yds per attempt for Alabama. Ty Simpson walked away from the contest with 73 yards on 5/9 through the air while his quarterback rating was 123.7. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 8.1. Alabama relinquished 46 rushing attempts for 171 yds (3.7 yds per carry). The Crimson Tide passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 87 yards on 14 for 28 passing. The Crimson Tide finished the contest with a total of 310 yds and they ran 65 plays (4.8 yds per play). Alabama ran the ball for 4.8 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 203 yards on 42 attempts.

The Alabama Crimson Tide have an average of 367.7 yards per outing, which ranks them 83rd in college football. The Alabama offense has racked up 144 yds of penalties on 17 infractions, ranking them 73rd in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 171.7 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 515 yards for the season. They have thrown 2 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumbles and they have tallied 58 first downs. When it comes to how much they score, the Crimson Tide sit 54th in college football holding an average of 32.3 points per outing. For the season to this point, the Crimson Tide currently have a total of 588 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 196.0 throwing yards per outing, putting them at 101st in Division 1.

Alabama has conceded a total of 354 yards on the ground (118.0 yards per game) and 1 touchdown via the rush for the campaign. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 189.7 yards/outing, which has them ranked 38th in college football. They have earned 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions so far this year. The Crimson Tide defense has taken part in 210 plays, ranking them 96th in the country. The Crimson Tide are relinquishing 14.7 points per contest, which has them ranked 27th in the nation. This year, they have conceded 44 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rebels/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rebels +16

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