Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Old Dominion Monarchs vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Liberty Flames (9-0) welcome the Old Dominion Monarchs (4-5) at Williams Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Liberty opens this game as 13-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 46.5.

The Old Dominion Monarchs step onto the field holding a record of 4-5 for this season. In their last contest, the Monarchs took on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 28-24. Grant Wilson went 16/28 with 172 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 144.1 and walked away from the contest without throwing an interception. Obie Sanni led the offense in rushing for the Monarchs with 14 carries for 75 yards (5.4 yards per carry). The Old Dominion Monarchs ended up rushing 38 times and had 173 yards, which had them averaging 4.6 yards per carry. At the end of the game, they tallied 66 plays for 345 yds. Old Dominion gave up 17 pass completions on 31 attempts for 180 yards, and a completion percentage of 54.8%. Against the run, the Monarchs gave up 278 yards on 45 tries, which calculates to 6.2 yds per run allowed.

The Monarchs currently have 3,268 yards in total for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Old Dominion has compiled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 15 different times. Old Dominion has compiled 153 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 54 penalties for 502 yards. As a team they're averaging 160.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 67th in the nation. In terms of getting in the endzone, the Old Dominion Monarchs have an average of 24.4 points per outing.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Monarchs are allowing 2,196 yards which has them ranked 99th in Division 1. They are allowing 244.0 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 64.5%. Overall, they are conceding 390.8 yards per game ranking them 86th in D-1. They have yielded 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 9 touchdowns running the ball. The opposition is running for 3.5 yards per run and 146.8 rushing yards per game for the campaign. In total, they have allowed 1,321 yards via the ground game in 9 games. The Monarchs are ranked 72nd in the nation when it comes to team defense, allowing 26.2 points per game.

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The Flames step onto the field holding a record of 9-0 for this year. In their last game, the Flames got the win with a final of 56-30 when they played the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. Quinton Cooley ran the football 23 times for 179 yds, finishing the game with 7.8 yards per carry for Liberty. Kaidon Salter (4 touchdowns) finished the game with 297 yds on 16/25 passing while his QB rating was 216.6. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 11.9. Liberty gave up 30 rushing attempts for 84 yds (2.8 yds per carry). The Flames pass defense allowed a completion rate of 69.7%, relinquishing 304 yds on 23 out of 33 passing. The Flames finished the game with a total of 602 yds on 70 plays (8.6 yards per play). Liberty ran the football for 6.8 yards per tote, totaling 305 yds on 45 carries.

The Liberty Flames are averaging 501.0 yards/outing, which ranks them 5th in D-1. The Liberty offense has racked up 645 penalty yds on 62 infractions, ranking them 30th in college football in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 283.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 2,550 yards for this year. They have thrown 3 interceptions while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 225 first downs. In relation to their ability to score points, the Flames are 12th in Division 1 holding an average of 39.1 points per outing. For the season so far, the Flames have a total of 1,959 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 217.7 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 80th in Division 1.

The Flames are conceding 21.9 points per game, which has them ranked 41st in the country. Liberty has allowed a total of 1,023 yards on the ground (113.7 yards/game) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 197 points. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns via the pass as well as 241.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 96th in college football. The Flames defense has been on the field for 576 plays, which has them sitting 34th in college football. They have earned 3 fumbles recovered and 16 interceptions for the season.

Who will win tonight's Monarchs/Flames college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Flames -13

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