Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Knights (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 63.5

FBC Mortgage Stadium is the site where the UCF Knights (4-5) will go up against the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2) on Saturday, November 11, 2023. UCF is 3-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 63.5.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys head into this game 7-2 for this year. In their last game, the Cowboys played the Oklahoma Sooners and notched a win by a score of 27-24. Alan Bowman finished 28/42 with 334 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 133.5 and ended the contest with no picks. Ollie Gordon was the rushing leader for the Cowboys with 33 attempts for 138 yds (4.2 yds per carry). The Oklahoma State Cowboys ran the ball a total of 38 times and accumulated 147 yards, which had them averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they had 81 plays which gave them 481 yards. Oklahoma State relinquished 26 pass completions on 37 attempts for a total of 344 yds, and a completion rate of 70.3%. In the running game, the Cowboys conceded 148 yds on 27 tries, which averages out to 5.5 yards per run allowed.

The Cowboys currently have 3,913 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Oklahoma State has earned 11 touchdowns through the air and 19 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times. Oklahoma State has recorded 190 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 47 penalties for 373 yds. As a unit they are averaging 180.2 yards in the run game which is 37th in D-1. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 30.7 points per game.

The Cowboys are ranked 58th in D-1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 24.3 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 167.9 rushing yards per contest for the year. For the year, they have given up 1,511 yards on the ground through 9 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Cowboys have allowed 2,255 yards which ranks them 106th in college football. They have conceded 250.6 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 59.8%. In total, they have allowed 418.4 yards/game which puts them 111th in Division 1. They have relinquished 18 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 11 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Knights come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Knights went home victorious with a score of 28-26 when they faced the Cincinnati Bearcats. John Rhys Plumlee walked away from the game with 165 yds on 13/23 passing while his quarterback rating was 116.8. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 7.2. R.J. Harvey ran the football 20 times for 164 yards, finishing the contest with 8.2 yds per attempt for UCF. UCF rushed for 5.8 yards per tote, totaling 228 yds on 39 carries. The Knights finished with a total of 393 yards on 62 plays (6.3 yds per play). The Knights pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 70.4%, surrendering 267 yards on 19 out of 27 through the air. UCF conceded 43 rushing attempts for 248 yards (5.8 yds per rush).

In relation to their ability to score points, the Knights sit 34th in D-1 averaging 32.8 points per contest. The UCF Knights average 483.7 yards per contest, which has them sitting 9th in Division 1. The UCF offense has compiled 459 penalty yards on 56 violations, which is good for 51st in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have tallied 214 1st downs. For the year so far, the Knights have thrown for a total of 2,309 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 256.6 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 46th in D-1. They maintain an average of 227.1 run yards per game and have rushed for 2,044 yards in total.

The Knights are surrendering 29.4 points per contest, ranking them 102nd in D-1. UCF has allowed a total of 1,906 yards on the ground (211.8 yards per game) in addition to 23 touchdowns via the rush this year. This season, they have surrendered 265 pts. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 202.7 yards per game, which has them ranked 35th in D-1. The Knights defense has been on the field for 637 plays, which ranks them 103rd in the nation. Their defense has earned 3 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Knights college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Knights +3

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