Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Devils (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) are en route to Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023 where they will meet the Duke Blue Devils (4-0). Notre Dame is 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 51.5.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish step onto the field holding a record of 4-1 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Fighting Irish took on the Ohio State Buckeyes and ended up losing by a score of 17-14. Sam Hartman finished 17/25 with 175 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 140 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Audric Estime was the rushing leader for the Fighting Irish with 14 attempts for 70 yards (5.0 yards per carry). The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ran the rock 39 different times and recorded 176 yards, which is an average of 4.5 yards per carry. In all, they had 64 plays which converted into 351 yds. Notre Dame surrendered 21 completions on 38 tries for a total of 240 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.3%. In the running game, the Fighting Irish conceded 126 yds on 27 tries, which is 4.7 yds per rush surrendered.

When talking about scoring points, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are averaging 39.6 PPG. As a unit they're holding an average of 198.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 30th in D-1. The Fighting Irish have racked up 2,386 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Notre Dame has totaled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground. Notre Dame has accrued 114 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 27 infractions for 250 yds. They have turned the ball over 2 times.

The Fighting Irish are sitting in 15th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 12.8 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.2 yards per rush on the ground and 111.2 yards on the ground per game this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 556 rushing yards through 5 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Fighting Irish have given up 747 yds which has them ranked 33rd in Division 1. They have relinquished 149.4 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 47.4%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 260.6 yards per outing which ranks them 7th in the country. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass and 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Blue Devils head into this game 4-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Devils walked away with a victory by a final of 41-7 when they faced the Connecticut Huskies. Riley Leonard carried the football 4 times for 30 yds, ending the game with 7.5 yds per carry for Duke. Riley Leonard walked away from the game with 226 yds on 22/33 passing while his QB rate was 124.2. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.8. Duke surrendered 37 run attempts for 89 yds (2.4 yds per rush). The Blue Devils pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 46.4%, surrendering 114 yards on 13 for 28 passing. The Blue Devils ended up finishing with 300 yards on 60 plays (5.0 yards per play). Duke rushed the football for 2.7 yds per carry, finishing with 74 yards on 27 attempts.

The Duke Blue Devils average 419.0 yards/game, which ranks them 49th in Division 1. The Duke offense has totaled 144 yds of penalties on 20 violations, which has them ranked 93rd in the country in terms of making mistakes. They have an average of 200.5 run yards per game and have run for 802 yards for the year. They have tossed 0 interceptions while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 90 1st downs. In terms of how much they score, the Blue Devils are sitting 28th in Division 1 with 37.3 points per contest. For the year so far, the Blue Devils have thrown for a total of 874 yards through the air along with an average of 218.5 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 92nd in college football.

The Blue Devils are surrendering 8.8 points per contest, which puts them 4th in D-1. Duke has yielded a total of 532 yards rushing (133.0 yards per contest) and 2 touchdowns rushing on the season. This year, they have surrendered 35 points. They have given up 3 touchdowns from the passing game and 143.3 yards/outing, which has them in 4th in the nation. The Blue Devils defense has been on the field for 269 plays, which ranks 80th in the nation. They have earned 4 fumbles recovered and 4 picks so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Fighting Irish/Blue Devils college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Devils +6

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