North Texas Mean Green vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/10/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Friday, November 10, 2023

Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Mustangs (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 68.5

The SMU Mustangs (7-2) are hosting the North Texas Mean Green (3-6) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday, November 10, 2023. North Texas opens this contest as 13-point dogs. The total is set at 68.5.

The North Texas Mean Green come into this game with a record of 3-6 for this season. In their last matchup, the Mean Green faced the UTSA Roadrunners and ended up losing by a score of 37-29. Ayo Adeyi was the rushing leader for the Mean Green with 17 carries for 105 yds (6.2 yds per attempt). Chandler Rogers finished 20/38 with 272 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 119.6 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Against the run, the Mean Green conceded 287 yds on 51 attempts, which averages out to 5.6 yards per run allowed. North Texas surrendered 13 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 134 yards, and a completion percentage of 52.0%. Overall, they ran 77 plays which totaled 459 yds. The North Texas Mean Green ended up rushing 39 different times and accumulated 187 yards, earning them an average of 4.8 yds per carry.

The Mean Green currently have 4,341 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, North Texas has earned 25 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 14 different times. North Texas has tallied 221 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 36 penalties for 365 yds. As a team they're averaging 180.2 yards on the ground which has them sitting 36th in Division 1. When talking about scoring points, the North Texas Mean Green are sitting at 34.8 points per game.

The Mean Green are ranked 129th in college football when it comes to team defense, giving up 36.7 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 5.7 yards per run and 260.2 yards on the ground per contest for the year. For the season, they have given up 2,342 running yards through 9 games. In terms of yards through the air, the Mean Green are giving up 1,885 yards which puts them in 44th in college football. They have given up 209.4 yards per outing through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 59.1%. Over the course of this season, they have relinquished 469.7 yards per game which puts them 133rd in the country. They have relinquished 15 touchdowns via the pass as well as 28 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Mustangs head into this game 7-2 for this year. For their last game, the Mustangs took home the win by a final score of 36-31 against the Rice Owls. Preston Stone ran the football 8 times for 81 yards, ending the contest with 10.1 yds per carry for SMU. Preston Stone (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 224 yds on 15/28 passing while his quarterback rate was 144.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.0. SMU allowed 25 attempts on the ground for 124 yds (5.0 yds per carry). The Mustangs secondary allowed a completion rate of 56.3%, surrendering 166 yds on 18 for 32 through the air. The Mustangs finished with a total of 484 yards while they ran 80 plays (6.1 yards per play). SMU rushed for 5.0 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 223 yds on 45 attempts.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Mustangs rank 7th in the nation holding an average of 40.0 PPG. The SMU Mustangs are averaging 465.2 yards per outing, which ranks them 15th in the country. The SMU offense has accrued 374 yds of penalties on 43 infractions, which ranks them 113th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 5 interceptions while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have obtained 220 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Mustangs have racked up 2,621 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 291.2 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 20th in Division 1. They hold an average of 174.0 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,566 yards for the season.

SMU has allowed a total of 1,038 rushing yards (115.3 yards per contest) in addition to 5 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. They have allowed 12 touchdowns through the air in addition to 166.4 yards/outing, which has them ranked 9th in Division 1. They have compiled 2 fumbles and 8 picks this season. The Mustangs defense has taken part in 599 plays, which is 66th in the country. The Mustangs are allowing 15.9 points per game, which has them ranked 9th in Division 1. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 143 total points.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Mustangs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mean Green +13

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