North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (-5)

Total/Over-Under: 60

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is the location where the Navy Midshipmen (1-3) will go up against the North Texas Mean Green (2-2) on Saturday, October 7, 2023. North Texas is 5-point underdogs. The total comes in at 60.

The North Texas Mean Green step onto the field holding a record of 2-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Mean Green stepped onto the field against the Abilene Christian Wildcats and earned the victory with a final of 45-31. Chandler Rogers connected on 23/36 with 321 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 166.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Ayo Adeyi was the best rusher for the Mean Green with 13 carries for 110 yards (8.5 yards per attempt). Overall, they tallied 76 plays which converted into 530 yds. The North Texas Mean Green ended up rushing 40 different times and had 209 yds, earning them an average of 5.2 yards per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Mean Green conceded 170 yards on 33 attempts, which averages out to 5.2 yds per rush allowed. North Texas conceded 19 pass completions on 38 attempts for 217 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

The Mean Green have racked up 1,865 yards in total over the course of this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, North Texas has amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 7 different times. North Texas has 94 first downs offensively, and they have committed 20 penalties for 235 yards. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 186.5 yards on the ground which has them sitting 38th in D-1. In terms of putting points on the board, the North Texas Mean Green are sitting at 36.3 PPG.

In terms of passing yards, the Mean Green are giving up 1,047 yds which has them ranked 51st in the nation. They have yielded 261.8 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 60.6%. For the season, they are conceding 503.5 yards per contest which has them ranked 132nd in the nation. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 12 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 5.9 yards per rush on the ground and 241.8 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have given up 967 yards on the ground through 4 contests. The Mean Green sit in 133rd in Division 1 concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 43.0 points per game.

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The Midshipmen step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Midshipmen went home defeated by a final of 44-30 when they played the USF Bulls. Blake Horvath (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 83 yds on 4/6 through the air while his quarterback rating was 292.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 13.8. Alex Tecza carried the ball 13 times for 82 yds, finishing the game with 6.3 yds per carry for Navy. Navy ran for 5.0 yards per attempt, totaling 240 yards on 48 attempts. The Midshipmen finished the contest with a total of 330 yds and they ran 59 plays (5.6 yards per play). The Midshipmen passing defense gave up a completion rate of 76.5%, relinquishing 338 yds on 26 for 34 through the air. Navy allowed 44 running attempts for 97 yds (2.2 yards per rush).

When discussing putting points on the board, the Midshipmen are ranked 116th in Division 1 with an average of 20.3 points per game. The Navy Midshipmen maintain an average of 334.8 yards/outing, which is good for 108th in the nation. The Navy offense has racked up 141 yards of penalties on 17 infractions, which has them sitting 127th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 0 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to record 60 1st downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Midshipmen have racked up 429 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 107.3 passing yards per contest, which has them sitting 132nd in Division 1. They have an average of 227.5 yards via the ground game and have run for 910 yards in total.

Navy has given up a total of 562 yards rushing (140.5 yards per contest) and 7 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air in addition to 238.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 84th in D-1. They have tallied 5 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions so far this season. The Midshipmen defense has been on the field for 268 plays, which is good for 13th in Division 1. The Midshipmen are surrendering 28.5 PPG, which puts them 89th in the nation. This season, they have relinquished 114 pts.

Who will win tonight's Mean Green/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Midshipmen -5

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