North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, 11/25/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Saturday, November 25, 2023

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, NC

TV: ACCN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 55

Carter-Finley Stadium is the site where the NC State Wolfpack (8-3) will try to beat the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-3) on Saturday, November 25, 2023. NC State is 4-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 55.

The North Carolina Tar Heels head into this game 8-3 this season. In their last contest, the Tar Heels took on the Clemson Tigers and took a loss by a final of 31-20. Drake Maye finished 16/36 with 209 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 96.8 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Omarion Hampton was the rushing leader for the Tar Heels with 19 totes for 178 yds (9.4 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 69 plays which gave them a total of 457 yds. The North Carolina Tar Heels ran the ball a total of 32 times and had 248 yards, which came out to an average of 7.8 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Tar Heels gave up 247 yards on 55 attempts, which calculates to 4.5 yds per run allowed. North Carolina relinquished 21 completions on 34 tries for a total of 219 yards, and a completion rate of 61.8%.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 38.1 PPG. As a team they're averaging 203.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 13th in college football. The Tar Heels have racked up 5,663 total yards this season. In terms of getting in the endzone, North Carolina has compiled 23 passing touchdowns and 28 touchdowns via the ground. North Carolina has amassed 279 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 76 penalties for 703 yards. They have surrendered the football 11 times.

In terms of passing yards, the Tar Heels have given up 2,574 yds which ranks them 82nd in the country. They have conceded 234.0 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.1%. In total, they have surrendered 396.5 yards per game which has them sitting 92nd in the country. They have yielded 17 touchdowns through the air in addition to 19 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up an average of 4.1 yards per run and 162.5 rushing yards per contest this year. In total, they have allowed 1,788 rushing yards through 11 games. The Tar Heels are sitting in 66th in the nation regarding team defense, giving up 26.0 PPG.

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The Wolfpack step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 for this season. In their last game, the Wolfpack got the victory with a final of 35-28 when they played the Virginia Tech Hokies. Brennan Armstrong (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 203 yards on 18/26 passing while his quarterback rate was 160.2. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.8. Brennan Armstrong ran the ball 21 times for 89 yds, ending the game with 4.2 yards per attempt for NC State. The Wolfpack finished the contest with 408 yds while they ran 74 plays (5.5 yds per play). NC State ran for 4.0 yds per carry, totaling 188 yds on 47 attempts. NC State gave up 16 rushing attempts for 124 yds (7.8 yds per carry). The Wolfpack pass defense gave up a completion rate of 56.7%, relinquishing 225 yds on 17 for 30 through the air.

The NC State Wolfpack average 332.0 yards per game, which ranks them 103rd in Division 1. The NC State offense has compiled 521 yards of penalties on 64 violations, which is good for 70th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 148.1 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,629 yards overall. They have tossed 11 picks while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have recorded 197 1st downs. Regarding how much they score, the Wolfpack rank 77th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 25.7 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Wolfpack have racked up 2,023 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 183.9 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 108th in the country.

NC State has allowed the opposition a total of 1,128 yards on the ground (102.5 yards per outing) and 10 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have conceded 17 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 215.5 yards per contest, which puts them in 49th in D-1. Their defense has earned 6 fumbles and 15 picks this year. The Wolfpack defense has been on the field for 670 plays, which has them sitting 12th in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing 20.2 points per game, which has them ranked 30th in Division 1. This year, they have allowed 222 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Tar Heels/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolfpack +4

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