New Mexico State Aggies vs UTEP Miners Prediction, 10/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs UTEP Miners

Date: Wednesday, October 18, 2023

Location: Sun Bowl in El Paso, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Miners (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

Sun Bowl is the site where the UTEP Miners (2-5) will go up against the New Mexico State Aggies (4-3) on Wednesday, October 18, 2023. UTEP opens as 2-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 50.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 4-3 for this season. In their last game, the Aggies took on the Sam Houston State Bearkats and went home with a win by a final score of 27-13. Diego Pavia connected on 20/36 with 286 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 140.6 and finished the game with no interceptions. Diego Pavia was the rushing leader for the Aggies with 15 carries for 115 yards (7.7 yards per carry). The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball a total of 34 times and accounted for 172 yds, earning them an average of 5.1 yards per tote. In all, they had 70 plays which gave them a total of 458 yds. New Mexico State relinquished 32 completions on 49 tries for 285 yards, and a completion percentage of 65.3%. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies conceded 82 yds on 19 attempts, which averages out to 4.3 yards per rush allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 30.0 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 194.6 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 24th in Division 1. The Aggies have tallied 3,076 total yards this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has compiled 15 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has 138 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 37 penalties for 405 yards. They have turned the ball over 8 times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Aggies have conceded 1,770 yards which puts them in 117th in Division 1. They have relinquished 252.9 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 63.4%. In total, they have yielded 381.4 yards/game ranking them 77th in the country. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns by air and 11 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 128.6 rushing yards per contest for the year. During the season, they have conceded 900 running yards through 7 games. The Aggies are ranked 52nd in college football in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 23.1 points per game.

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The Miners come into this matchup with a record of 2-5 for this season. In their last game, the Miners got the victory with a final of 27-14 when they played the FIU Panthers. Cade McConnell (2 TDs) finished the game with 262 yards on 11/17 passing while his quarterback rate was 233. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 15.4. Torrance Burgess Jr. carried the rock 20 times for 86 yards, ending the contest with 4.3 yds per carry for UTEP. UTEP ran the football for 3.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 139 yards on 43 carries. The Miners finished with a total of 441 yards while they ran 61 plays (7.2 yds per play). The Miners secondary allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 272 yards on 15 for 30 passing. UTEP conceded 34 run attempts for 91 yards (2.7 yards per carry).

Regarding putting points on the board, the Miners currently sit 127th in college football with 17.7 points per contest. The UTEP Miners average 360.0 yards/game, ranking them 90th in college football. The UTEP offense has accrued 456 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which has them sitting 22nd in D-1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 8 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have tallied 134 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Miners currently sit at 1,428 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 204.0 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 97th in the nation. They are averaging 156.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,092 yards for the year.

The Miners are surrendering 26.1 points per contest, which has them ranked 73rd in D-1. UTEP has surrendered a total of 1,240 yards rushing (177.1 yards/game) as well as 16 touchdowns on the ground on the year. This year, they have given up 183 points in total. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air and 204.7 yards/outing, which has them ranked 36th in the nation. The Miners defense has been on the field for 435 plays, which is good for 72nd in Division 1. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles and 3 interceptions over the course of the season.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Miners college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies +2

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