New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 9/16/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The New Mexico Lobos (1-1) will try to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (1-2) at University Stadium on Saturday, September 16, 2023. New Mexico opens this game as 2-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 51.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies faced the Liberty Flames and took a loss by a final of 33-17. Diego Pavia connected on 12/21 with 150 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 113.8 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Diego Pavia led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 9 totes for 63 yds (7.0 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they had 50 plays which totaled 339 yards. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the ball 24 different times and accounted for 170 yards, which had them averaging 7.1 yards per tote. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Aggies conceded 250 yds on 52 attempts, which is an average of 4.8 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State relinquished 15 pass completions on 25 attempts for 276 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%.

Concerning scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies have an average of 35.0 points per game. As a unit they average 216.7 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 25th in Division 1. The Aggies have earned 1,447 yards in total this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico State has compiled 7 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico State has accumulated 65 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 163 yds. They have turned the football over 6 times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Aggies are allowing 683 yds which puts them in 121st in the nation. They have conceded 227.7 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 57.1%. Over the course of this year, they are granting 387.3 yards/outing ranking them 95th in the country. They have conceded 4 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 7 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.1 yards per tote and 159.7 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 479 yards via the ground game in 3 games. The Aggies rank 108th in college football concerning team defense, giving up 31.7 points per contest.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 1-1 this year. When they last played, the Lobos got the victory with a final of 56-10 against the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles. Dylan Hopkins (4 TDs) walked away from the contest with 273 yards on 13/17 passing while his QB rating was 277.2. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 16.1. Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried the football 12 times for 162 yards, ending the contest with 13.5 yds per attempt for New Mexico. The Lobos ended up finishing with 587 yds and they ran 56 plays (10.5 yds per play). New Mexico ran the ball for 8.2 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 296 yards on 36 carries. New Mexico allowed 34 attempts on the ground for 98 yds (2.9 yds per carry). The Lobos passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 54.1%, relinquishing 182 yards on 20 out of 37 passing.

The New Mexico Lobos have an average of 404.5 yards/contest, ranking them 63rd in the country. The New Mexico offense has totaled 209 yards of penalties on 21 violations, which is 7th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have an average of 193.5 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 387 yards overall. They have thrown 3 picks while letting opponents recover 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 42 1st downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Lobos are ranking 55th in Division 1 holding an average of 33.0 points per game. During the season thus far, the Lobos have thrown for a total of 422 yards through the air not to mention holding an average of 211.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 88th in college football.

New Mexico has surrendered a total of 232 rushing yards (116.0 yards per game) in addition to 1 touchdown by way of the ground game so far this season. They have given up 7 touchdowns through the air and 229.5 yards per game, which has them sitting 81st in the nation. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles and 0 picks on the season. The Lobos defense has been on the field for 134 plays, ranking them 81st in D-1. The Lobos are allowing 31.0 PPG, ranking them 107th in Division 1. This season, they have relinquished 62 total points.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos -2

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