New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction, 10/24/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Location: Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston, LA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 51

Joe Aillet Stadium is where the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-5) will meet the New Mexico State Aggies (5-3) on Tuesday, October 24, 2023. New Mexico State opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The over/under is 51.

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game with a record of 5-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies played the UTEP Miners and notched a win by a score of 28-7. Ahmonte Watkins led the offense in rushing for the Aggies with 10 carries for 109 yds (10.9 yards per carry). Diego Pavia went 15/25 with 186 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 148.9 and ended the game with no picks. Against the run, the Aggies conceded 125 yards on 31 attempts, which calculates to 4.0 yds per rush allowed. New Mexico State gave up 15 completions on 32 tries for 179 yds, and a completion percentage of 46.9%. In all, they had 60 plays which totaled 439 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 35 times and recorded 253 yards, which came out to an average of 7.2 yards per carry.

In terms of putting points on the board, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 29.8 points per contest. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 201.9 yards on the ground ranking them 18th in college football. The Aggies have tallied 3,515 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico State has totaled 17 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has 161 1st downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 44 penalties for 460 yds. They have surrendered the football 8 different times.

The Aggies sit in 43rd in the country concerning team defense, conceding 21.1 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.0 yards per tote and 128.1 rushing yards per contest this year. For the season, they have given up 1,025 running yards through 8 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Aggies have conceded 1,949 yards which has them sitting in 118th in the nation. They have yielded 243.6 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 61.5%. In total, they are surrendering 371.8 yards per outing which has them ranked 70th in the country. They have yielded 8 touchdowns via the pass as well as 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs head into this game 3-5 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Bulldogs walked away with a loss by a score of 31-23 when they faced the MTSU Blue Raiders. Hank Bachmeier (1 TD) finished the contest with 178 yards on 16/24 passing while his QB rate was 142.7. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.4. Tyre Shelton ran the ball 10 times for 39 yards, ending the contest with 3.9 yards per attempt for Louisiana Tech. Louisiana Tech ran for 3.0 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 79 yards on 26 attempts. The Bulldogs finished the game with a total of 419 yards while they ran 73 plays (5.7 yds per play). The Bulldogs pass defense allowed a completion rate of 79.3%, relinquishing 248 yards on 23 for 29 passing. Louisiana Tech allowed 37 attempts on the ground for 105 yds (2.8 yds per carry).

In relation to how much they score, the Bulldogs currently rank 81st in D-1 with an average of 26.6 points per game. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have an average of 383.0 yards per game, which ranks them 74th in Division 1. The Louisiana Tech offense has totaled 543 penalty yds on 63 violations, which has them ranked 5th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 7 picks while conceding 3 fumbles and they have obtained 158 first downs. For the year to this point, the Bulldogs have thrown for 1,945 yards through the air along with an average of 243.1 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 56th in the country. They have an average of 139.9 run yards per game and have run for 1,119 yards for the season.

The Bulldogs are conceding 27.5 points per contest, which has them sitting 87th in D-1. Louisiana Tech has yielded a total of 1,591 yards rushing (198.9 yards per game) and 15 touchdowns rushing for the season. In total, they have relinquished 220 points in total. They have allowed 12 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 182.1 yards/game, which has them sitting 16th in the country. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 555 plays, ranking them 121st in D-1. Their defense has earned 2 fumbles and 5 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies +3

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