New Mexico State Aggies vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 58.5

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex is the location where the Hawaii Warriors (1-3) will try to defeat the New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023. New Mexico State opens as 2-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 58.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this game 2-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Aggies played the New Mexico Lobos and earned the victory with a final of 27-17. Diego Pavia was the best rusher for the Aggies with 11 totes for 96 yds (8.7 yds per carry). Diego Pavia finished 9/14 with 203 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 233.2 and ended the game without throwing a pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies gave up 154 yds on 32 tries, which calculates to 4.8 yards per run allowed. New Mexico State allowed 20 completions on 39 tries for a total of 247 yards, and a completion rate of 51.3%. When the final whistle blew, they ran 45 plays which gave them 397 yds. The New Mexico State Aggies rushed the ball a total of 30 different times and had 177 yds, which had them averaging 5.9 yards per tote.

The Aggies have racked up 1,844 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New Mexico State has amassed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 6 different times. New Mexico State has 80 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 22 infractions for 240 yds. As a team they hold an average of 206.8 yards on the ground which is 24th in Division 1. When it comes to scoring, the New Mexico State Aggies are sitting at 33.0 points per game.

The Aggies rank 94th in Division 1 in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 28.0 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per run and 158.3 rushing yards per game on the year. For the year, they have conceded 633 running yards through 4 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Aggies have conceded 930 yds which has them ranked 124th in the country. They have surrendered 232.5 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 55.0%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 390.8 yards/game putting them 103rd in D-1. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Warriors head into this game 1-3 for this season. When they last played, the Warriors took a loss by a final score of 55-10 against the Oregon Ducks. Jordan Johnson ran the ball 4 times for 39 yds, walking away from the contest with 9.8 yds per attempt for Hawaii. Brayden Schager (1 TD) finished the contest with 131 yds on 27/43 through the air while his quarterback rating was 91.4. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 3.0. Hawaii allowed 30 running attempts for 227 yards (7.6 yards per carry). The Warriors passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 76.5%, relinquishing 333 yds on 26 for 34 through the air. The Warriors finished the game with a total of 201 yards and they ran 63 plays (3.2 yds per play). Hawaii rushed the ball for 3.1 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 59 yds on 19 carries.

The Hawaii Warriors hold an average of 330.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 105th in college football. The Hawaii offense has compiled 300 penalty yards on 34 infractions, which has them ranked 2nd in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 51.8 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 207 yards for this season. They have tossed 6 interceptions while losing 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 73 first downs. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Warriors are sitting 97th in the country with 23.3 points per contest. Over the course of the season thus far, the Warriors have a total of 1,114 yards through the air along with an average of 278.5 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 34th in the country.

The Warriors are conceding 36.8 points per game, which has them sitting 124th in Division 1. Hawaii has allowed a total of 548 yards via the ground game (137.0 yards per game) as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. Overall, they have surrendered 147 pts. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air and 238.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 94th in Division 1. The Warriors defense has been on the field for 258 plays, ranking them 128th in the nation. They have 1 fumble recovered and 1 picks for the year.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Aggies +2

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