New Mexico State Aggies vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico State Aggies vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, AL

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-22)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

Jordan-Hare Stadium is the location where the Auburn Tigers (6-4) will try to beat the New Mexico State Aggies (8-3) on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Auburn opens this contest as 22-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 48.5.

The New Mexico State Aggies head into this game 8-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Aggies played the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and earned the victory with a final of 38-29. Diego Pavia went 14/24 with 141 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 135.2 and finished the contest with no picks. Star Thomas was the best rusher for the Aggies with 7 attempts for 85 yards (12.1 yards per carry). The New Mexico State Aggies ran the football 36 times and compiled 205 yds, which is an average of 5.7 yds per carry. In the game, they had 60 plays which totaled 346 yards. New Mexico State surrendered 20 pass completions on 36 attempts for a total of 270 yards, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Aggies gave up 167 yards on 31 tries, which calculates to 5.4 yards per rush surrendered.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the New Mexico State Aggies are averaging 28.7 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 203.1 yards via the ground game which is 12th in the nation. The Aggies have racked up 4,590 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico State has compiled 20 touchdowns through the air and 18 rushing touchdowns. New Mexico State has amassed 219 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 64 infractions for 637 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 times.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Aggies are allowing 2,635 yards which has them sitting in 118th in the nation. They are allowing 239.5 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 61.2%. For the season, they are granting 375.3 yards per contest which has them ranked 68th in D-1. They have given up 13 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per rush on the ground and 135.7 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,493 yards on the ground through 11 games. The Aggies rank 37th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 20.8 points per game.

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The Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 48-10 when they played the Arkansas Razorbacks. Payton Thorne (3 TDs) finished the game with 163 yds on 12/20 through the air while his QB rating was 168. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 8.2. Jarquez Hunter carried the football 16 times for 109 yards, finishing the contest with 6.8 yds per carry for Auburn. The Tigers finished with 517 yards on 76 plays (6.8 yards per play). Auburn ended up running for 6.4 yards per attempt, finishing with 354 yds on 55 attempts. Auburn relinquished 32 rushing attempts for 120 yards (3.8 yds per carry). The Tigers pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.0%, surrendering 135 yards on 12 out of 20 passing.

The Auburn Tigers hold an average of 371.6 yards per game, ranking them 77th in Division 1. The Auburn offense has totaled 431 penalty yds on 53 violations, which ranks 93rd in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 207.2 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 2,072 yards for this season. They have tossed 9 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have earned 191 first downs. In relation to putting points on the board, the Tigers sit 53rd in Division 1 holding an average of 29.3 points per game. For the season so far, the Tigers currently sit at 1,644 yards through the air as well as an average of 164.4 passing yards per contest, which ranks 121st in Division 1.

Auburn has conceded a total of 1,508 rushing yards (150.8 yards per contest) as well as 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the year. They have allowed 12 touchdowns through the air and 196.0 yards/outing, which puts them in 28th in D-1. They have earned 6 fumbles and 11 interceptions so far this season. The Tigers defense has been on the field for 631 plays, which is good for 29th in Division 1. The Tigers are surrendering 20.5 PPG, ranking them 32nd in Division 1. In total, they have allowed 205 points.

Who will win tonight's Aggies/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers -22

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