New Mexico Lobos vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium is the location where the UMass Minutemen (1-3) will try to defeat the New Mexico Lobos (1-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023. New Mexico is 2-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 49.5.

The New Mexico Lobos step onto the field holding a record of 1-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Lobos faced the New Mexico State Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-17. Dylan Hopkins went 20/39 with 247 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 112.9 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Jacory Croskey-Merritt was the leader on the ground for the Lobos with 16 attempts for 83 yds (5.2 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they tallied 71 plays which converted into 401 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ran the rock 32 times and amassed 154 yards, which is an average of 4.8 yards per tote. In the running game, the Lobos conceded 177 yds on 30 attempts, which is 5.9 yards per run allowed. New Mexico conceded 10 completions on 15 attempts for 220 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Lobos currently have 1,210 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico has totaled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 4 different times. New Mexico has recorded 68 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 28 infractions for 264 yds. As a team they average 180.3 yards on the ground ranking them 47th in the country. When it comes to scoring, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 27.7 points per outing.

The Lobos are sitting in 103rd in the country in terms of team defense, giving up 29.7 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 136.3 rushing yards per game on the campaign. Overall, they have allowed 409 running yards through 3 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Lobos have conceded 679 yds which puts them in 79th in Division 1. They have relinquished 226.3 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 63.6%. For the season, they are surrendering 362.7 yards per game which ranks them 76th in D-1. They have relinquished 9 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Minutemen come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this year. In their last game, the Minutemen walked away with a loss by a score of 19-17 against the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Carlos Davis (1 touchdown) ended the game with 340 yards on 23/41 passing while his QB rating was 119.2. He had 3 interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 8.3. Kay'ron Adams ran the football 26 times for 129 yards, finishing the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for UMass. UMass rushed the ball for 3.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 124 yds on 34 carries. The Minutemen finished the contest with a total of 464 yards while they ran 75 plays (6.2 yards per play). The Minutemen pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 157 yards on 13 for 26 passing. UMass surrendered 26 running attempts for 214 yds (8.2 yds per rush).

The UMass Minutemen are averaging 365.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 84th in D-1. The UMass offense has totaled 305 yards of penalties on 31 infractions, which has them sitting 4th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 130.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 523 yards overall. They have tossed 5 interceptions while conceding 3 fumbles and they have tallied 69 1st downs. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Minutemen are ranking 89th in college football by scoring 25.0 points per outing. During this campaign thus far, the Minutemen have earned 937 yards through the air as well as an average of 234.3 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 71st in the country.

The Minutemen are relinquishing 37.3 points per game, which has them 125th in the nation. UMass has allowed the opposition a total of 857 yards on the ground (214.3 yards per game) and 8 touchdowns via the rush on the year. This season, they have relinquished 149 points. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns via the pass and 227.5 yards per game, which has them in 85th in Division 1. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 242 plays, which is good for 123rd in Division 1. They have 3 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions for the year.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Minutemen -2

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