New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolf Pack (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-6) are hosting the New Mexico Lobos (3-4) at Mackay Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Nevada opens this game as 1-point favorites. The total has been set at 50.5.

The New Mexico Lobos come into this game with a record of 3-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Lobos played the Hawaii Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 42-21. Dylan Hopkins went 20/25 with 202 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 187.5 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. Andrew Henry led the offense in rushing for the Lobos with 13 carries for 112 yards (8.6 yds per carry). For the game, they ran 64 plays which gave them 429 yards. The New Mexico Lobos ended up rushing 38 different times and recorded 227 yds, earning them an average of 6.0 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Lobos conceded 58 yds on 15 attempts, which averages out to 3.9 yards per run allowed. New Mexico gave up 33 pass completions on 52 tries for a total of 345 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.5%.

The Lobos have racked up 2,775 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New Mexico has compiled 13 touchdowns via the pass and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times. New Mexico has a total of 155 first downs, and they have been called for 69 infractions for 639 yards. As a team they average 179.7 yards on the ground which is 35th in college football. When it comes to scoring, the New Mexico Lobos have an average of 29.9 PPG.

The Lobos sit in 115th in college football in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 32.6 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 5.4 yards per rush and 166.0 rushing yards per contest for the year. During the season, they have allowed 1,162 rushing yards through 7 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Lobos have given up 1,796 yards which ranks them 100th in D-1. They are giving up 256.6 yards per outing through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 62.2%. During this campaign, they have given up 422.6 yards/contest which puts them 115th in the country. They have yielded 17 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Wolf Pack head into this matchup 1-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Wolf Pack walked away with a victory by a final of 6-0 when they played the San Diego State Aztecs. Brendon Lewis ended the contest with 98 yds on 9/22 through the air while his quarterback rate was 78.3. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 4.5. Sean Dollars ran the ball 11 times for 49 yds, finishing the game with 4.5 yards per carry for Nevada. Nevada ran for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 144 yds on 39 carries. The Wolf Pack finished the game with 242 yds while running 61 plays (4.0 yds per play). The Wolf Pack secondary conceded a completion percentage of 42.9%, surrendering 47 yards on 6 out of 14 passing. Nevada conceded 39 rushing attempts for 157 yards (4.0 yards per rush).

The Nevada Wolf Pack average 311.1 yards/game, which has them ranked 119th in D-1. The Nevada offense has 334 yards of penalties on 39 infractions, which has them sitting 98th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 122.9 rushing yards per game and have run for 860 yards for the year. They have given away 7 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have recorded 113 1st downs. When discussing their scoring prowess, the Wolf Pack are sitting 129th in Division 1 holding an average of 15.7 points per contest. For the season thus far, the Wolf Pack have compiled 1,318 passing yards along with holding an average of 188.3 passing yards per game, which is ranked 112th in the country.

The Wolf Pack are allowing 33.9 PPG, which has them sitting 120th in college football. Nevada has conceded a total of 1,329 yards rushing (189.9 yards per game) and 15 touchdowns via the rush on the year. In total, they have conceded 237 total points. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 276.4 yards/contest, which puts them in 124th in college football. The Wolf Pack defense has participated in 431 plays, which ranks 15th in the country. They have totaled 6 fumbles and 3 interceptions this season.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Wolf Pack college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Lobos +1

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