New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-24)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The New Mexico Lobos (3-7) are on their way to Bulldog Stadium on Saturday, November 18, 2023 where they will attempt to beat the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-2). New Mexico is 24-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 56.5.

The New Mexico Lobos step onto the field holding a record of 3-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Lobos went up against the Boise State Broncos and ended up losing by a score of 42-14. Jacory Croskey-Merritt was the leader on the ground for the Lobos with 15 totes for 73 yards (4.9 yds per carry). Devon Dampier went 17/26 with 200 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 130 and finished the game with no picks. In the running game, the Lobos gave up 219 yds on 42 tries, which is an average of 5.2 yds per run surrendered. New Mexico gave up 11 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 265 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.9%. When all was said and done, they had 57 plays which gave them 323 yds. The New Mexico Lobos ended up running the ball 31 different times and tallied 123 yds, earning them an average of 4.0 yards per carry.

The Lobos have earned 3,860 total yards this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, New Mexico has compiled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 20 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 13 times. New Mexico has recorded 218 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 92 penalties for 821 yards. As a team they hold an average of 163.0 yards via the ground game which is 60th in Division 1. In terms of getting in the endzone, the New Mexico Lobos have an average of 26.1 points per game.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Lobos have allowed 2,439 yards which ranks them 99th in the nation. They are conceding 243.9 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 61.9%. During this campaign, they are allowing 416.9 yards/contest which puts them 112th in the country. They have conceded 22 touchdowns by air in addition to 19 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing 5.1 yards per rushing attempt and 173.0 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,730 yards on the ground through 10 contests. The Lobos rank 128th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 36.0 PPG.

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The Bulldogs come into this matchup with a record of 8-2 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 42-18 when they played the San Jose State Spartans. Malik Sherrod carried the ball 15 times for 68 yds, finishing the game with 4.5 yds per carry for Fresno State. Logan Fife (1 touchdown) ended the game with 115 yards on 11/21 passing while his quarterback rate was 104.6. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 5.5. Fresno State relinquished 43 attempts on the ground for 313 yards (7.3 yds per carry). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 50.0%, relinquishing 146 yds on 9 for 18 through the air. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 308 yds and they ran 72 plays (4.3 yds per play). Fresno State ran the football for 2.7 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 83 yards on 31 attempts.

The Fresno State Bulldogs maintain an average of 397.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 58th in the country. The Fresno State offense has compiled 439 yds of penalties on 48 infractions, which is 110th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They maintain an average of 106.7 run yards per game and have run for 1,067 yards for the season. They have tossed 10 interceptions while surrendering 0 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 222 first downs. Concerning their scoring prowess, the Bulldogs are 35th in the country averaging 32.4 PPG. Over the course of the season so far, the Bulldogs have compiled 2,904 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 290.4 throwing yards per game, which ranks 18th in Division 1.

The Bulldogs are conceding 23.7 PPG, which puts them 51st in college football. Fresno State has yielded a total of 1,447 yards via the ground game (144.7 yards per outing) and 11 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. In total, they have relinquished 237 total points. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns via the pass and 223.1 yards per game, which has them ranked 60th in college football. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 691 plays, which has them ranked 90th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 6 fumbles and 14 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -24

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