New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, ID

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-26)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Boise State Broncos (4-4) are welcoming the New Mexico Lobos (3-6) at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Boise State is 26-point favorites. The over/under is 48.

The New Mexico Lobos head into this matchup 3-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Lobos took on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and took a loss by a score of 56-14. Dylan Hopkins went 15/23 with 187 yds through the air. He had a QB rating of 133.5 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the offense in rushing for the Lobos with 21 totes for 86 yards (4.1 yds per carry). The New Mexico Lobos ran the football 45 times and had 166 yards, which earned them an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they tallied 71 plays which converted into 362 yds. New Mexico conceded 13 completions on 18 attempts for 247 yds, and a completion percentage of 72.2%. On the ground, the Lobos gave up 169 yds on 32 tries, which calculates to 5.3 yds per rush surrendered.

Concerning putting points on the board, the New Mexico Lobos are sitting at 27.4 points per contest. As a unit they hold an average of 167.4 yards on the ground ranking them 49th in Division 1. The Lobos have earned 3,537 total yards for the season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, New Mexico has compiled 15 passing touchdowns and 18 touchdowns via the ground. New Mexico has a total of 197 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 83 infractions for 759 yards. They have surrendered the ball 12 times.

The Lobos sit in 125th in Division 1 concerning team defense, conceding 35.3 points per contest. They are giving up an average of 5.1 yards per rush and 167.9 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,511 running yards through 9 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Lobos have given up 2,174 yards which puts them in 96th in the nation. They have given up 241.6 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.3%. For the year, they have surrendered 409.4 yards per outing which puts them 101st in the country. They have given up 20 touchdowns by air as well as 16 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this season. In their last game, the Broncos walked away with a loss by a score of 37-30 when they played the Fresno State Bulldogs. George Holani carried the ball 19 times for 79 yards, ending the contest with 4.2 yards per carry for Boise State. Maddux Madsen (1 touchdown) finished the game with 258 yards on 22/42 passing while his QB rate was 107.1. He had 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 6.1. Boise State relinquished 29 rushing attempts for 138 yds (4.8 yds per carry). The Broncos secondary conceded a completion rate of 62.5%, relinquishing 303 yards on 25 for 40 through the air. The Broncos finished the contest with 488 yards and they ran 80 plays (6.1 yds per play). Boise State rushed for 5.2 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 177 yds on 34 carries.

In relation to putting points on the board, the Broncos are ranking 53rd in Division 1 holding an average of 30.0 points per game. The Boise State Broncos average 434.3 yards per contest, which has them sitting 35th in the country. The Boise State offense has compiled 318 yards of penalties on 37 violations, which has them sitting 125th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 9 interceptions while losing 8 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 202 first downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Broncos have compiled 2,169 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 241.0 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 56th in D-1. They maintain an average of 193.3 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,740 yards in total.

Boise State has conceded a total of 1,033 rushing yards (114.8 yards per contest) in addition to 16 touchdowns rushing for the year. They have allowed 15 touchdowns via the pass and 279.8 yards/game, which has them ranked 126th in D-1. They have 4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks on the year. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 570 plays, which ranks 30th in college football. The Broncos are conceding 28.9 points per game, which has them 98th in the country. This season, they have relinquished 260 total points.

Who will win tonight's Lobos/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Broncos -26

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