Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Maverik Stadium in Logan, UT

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-15)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Nevada Wolf Pack (2-7) are headed to Maverik Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023 where they will go up against the Utah State Aggies (4-5). Utah State opens this contest as 15-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 48.5.

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 2-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Wolf Pack went up against the Hawaii Warriors and took a loss by a score of 27-14. AJ Bianco connected on 5/15 with 76 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 62.6 and finished the contest with 1 pick. AJ Bianco led the offense in rushing for the Wolf Pack with 15 carries for 63 yds (4.2 yards per attempt). The Nevada Wolf Pack ended up running the ball 41 times and recorded 124 yards, which earned them an average of 3.0 yards per carry. For the game, they tallied 65 plays which gave them a total of 236 yds. Nevada gave up 21 pass completions on 38 tries for a total of 203 yds, and a completion rate of 55.3%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Wolf Pack conceded 136 yds on 35 attempts, which averages out to 3.9 yds per rush allowed.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Nevada Wolf Pack hold an average of 17.6 points per outing. As a unit they're averaging 129.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 99th in the nation. The Wolf Pack have tallied 2,725 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Nevada has earned 4 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns. Nevada has amassed 147 first downs as a team, and they have committed 56 penalties for 480 yds. They have surrendered the ball 14 times.

Concerning passing yardage, the Wolf Pack are allowing 2,455 yds which puts them in 122nd in the nation. They are giving up 272.8 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 68.4%. In total, they have surrendered 444.8 yards per outing which ranks them 127th in the nation. They have relinquished 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 18 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 5.1 yards per run and 172.0 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,548 running yards through 9 contests. The Wolf Pack are sitting in 113th in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 32.0 points per contest.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 4-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies took home the win by a final score of 32-24 when they played the San Diego State Aztecs. Cooper Legas (2 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 167 yds on 11/15 passing while his quarterback rate was 210.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.1. Davon Booth carried the ball 13 times for 77 yards, finishing the contest with 5.9 yards per attempt for Utah State. The Aggies ended up finishing with 400 yds while running 76 plays (5.3 yds per play). Utah State rushed the ball for 3.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 171 yds on 44 carries. Utah State allowed 31 attempts on the ground for 121 yards (3.9 yds per carry). The Aggies secondary gave up a completion rate of 65.0%, surrendering 263 yards on 26 for 40 through the air.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Aggies sit 21st in college football with an average of 34.9 PPG. The Utah State Aggies have an average of 445.4 yards per outing, ranking them 26th in the country. The Utah State offense has accrued 542 yards of penalties on 62 infractions, which is 32nd in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 13 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 198 first downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Aggies have thrown for a total of 2,528 passing yards along with an average of 280.9 passing yards per contest, ranking them 26th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 164.6 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,481 yards for the year.

The Aggies are allowing 32.9 points per game, which puts them 119th in D-1. Utah State has given up a total of 1,517 yards rushing (168.6 yards per outing) as well as 19 touchdowns via the rush so far this season. This season, they have relinquished 296 pts. They have conceded 19 touchdowns through the air and 237.7 yards per contest, ranking them 87th in college football. The Aggies defense has been on the field for 675 plays, which is good for 124th in Division 1. They have tallied 8 fumbles recovered and 9 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Aggies -15

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