Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA

TV: FS2

Odds/Point Spread: Aztecs (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-6) are traveling to Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will attempt to beat the San Diego State Aztecs (3-4). San Diego State opens this game as 13-point favorites. The total is 48.

The Nevada Wolf Pack head into this game 0-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Wolf Pack played the UNLV Runnin' Rebels and ended up losing by a score of 45-27. Brendon Lewis was the leader on the ground for the Wolf Pack with 15 carries for 115 yards (7.7 yds per attempt). Brendon Lewis went 16/31 with 287 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 137.8 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Against the run, the Wolf Pack gave up 259 yards on 48 tries, which calculates to 5.4 yards per rush surrendered. Nevada surrendered 20 pass completions on 25 attempts for 257 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.0%. At the end of the game, they had 68 plays which gave them 474 yds. The Nevada Wolf Pack ended up rushing 37 different times and had 187 yds, which earned them an average of 5.1 yards per attempt.

The Wolf Pack have racked up 1,936 total yards this season. In terms of getting in the endzone, Nevada has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 8 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times. Nevada has accounted for 96 first downs as a team, and they have committed 29 penalties for 276 yds. As a team they're averaging 119.3 yards on the ground which has them sitting 109th in Division 1. When talking about putting points on the board, the Nevada Wolf Pack have an average of 17.3 PPG.

The Wolf Pack are sitting in 132nd in the country concerning team defense, allowing 39.5 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.7 yards per rushing attempt and 195.3 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,172 rushing yards through 6 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Wolf Pack are allowing 1,888 yds which ranks them 125th in the nation. They are giving up 314.7 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 77.1%. During this campaign, they are granting 510.0 yards per outing putting them 133rd in Division 1. They have surrendered 14 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Aztecs head into this matchup 3-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aztecs got the victory with a final of 41-34 when they played the Hawaii Warriors. Jalen Mayden (1 TD) ended the game with 221 yards on 18/24 through the air while his QB rating was 157.8. He had 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.2. Cam Davis ran the football 10 times for 53 yards, ending the contest with 5.3 yards per carry for San Diego State. San Diego State ran the ball for 3.7 yards per tote, totaling 157 yards on 43 carries. The Aztecs finished the game with a total of 378 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.6 yds per play). The Aztecs pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.4%, relinquishing 427 yards on 29 out of 48 through the air. San Diego State conceded 14 rushing attempts for 53 yds (3.8 yds per carry).

The San Diego State Aztecs hold an average of 333.7 yards per contest, ranking them 109th in the nation. The San Diego State offense has totaled 299 yards of penalties on 36 infractions, which has them ranked 85th in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They average 145.6 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,019 yards for the year. They have given away 7 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they have earned 122 1st downs. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Aztecs are sitting 105th in Division 1 averaging 22.4 points per outing. During the season so far, the Aztecs have earned 1,317 passing yards along with an average of 188.1 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 114th in Division 1.

The Aztecs are relinquishing 31.3 PPG, ranking them 107th in the nation. San Diego State has allowed a total of 1,159 rushing yards (165.6 yards/game) and 13 touchdowns on the ground for the year. In total, they have allowed 219 points in total. They have conceded 13 touchdowns via the pass as well as 279.9 yards/outing, which has them sitting 123rd in college football. The Aztecs defense has been on the field for 476 plays, which is 111th in D-1. They have earned 5 fumbles and 9 picks for the season.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Aztecs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Wolf Pack +13

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